Competitive and transparent energy markets are central to economic performance and social wellbeing. Although liberalisation reforms have progressed in many countries, OECD PMR evidence highlights persistent gaps in key regulatory tools, including consumer engagement mechanisms and enabling digital infrastructure. Addressing these gaps is critical to fostering effective competition and improving outcomes for consumers and the broader energy system.
Economic policy
Economic policy encompasses the range of fiscal, monetary, structural and regulatory instruments governments use to promote sustainable economic performance, resilience, productivity and well-being. This topic page presents the OECD’s analysis of policy levers, structural reform indicators and governance frameworks designed to help governments transform economic challenges into long-term opportunities.
Key links
Recent releases
Building competitive energy markets: Regulatory insights from the OECD PMR indicators
Recent policy research
Measuring the macroeconomic cost of climate change from the ground up
Climate change affects economies through local and granular channels. Workers are exposed to heat, firms are hit by floods, farms face changing growing conditions, and coastal areas lose land to rising seas. Yet the economic consequences are not confined to the places directly affected. Through trade, migration and production networks, local climate damages can reshape economic outcomes across regions, countries, and ultimately the global economy.
In a new OECD working paper (Baptista et al., 2026), we develop the Climate and Adaptation Spatial General Equilibrium Model (OECD-CASGEM) to connect these local damages to country specific macroeconomic outcomes. The model aggregates climate impacts across 927 regions in 186 countries while accounting for trade, migration and production linkages within and across countries. This allows us to quantify how local climate shocks propagate through the global economy, shaping both aggregate losses and their distribution across regions.
Read the full paper:
The climate and adaptation spatial general equilibrium model (OECD-CASGEM): the macroeconomic cost of climate change
September 2026
by Diogo Baptista, Hélia Costa and Filiz Unsal,
Unwinding global imbalances
Current account balances are at the forefront of global discussions, including this year’s G20 and G7 meetings. Renewed attention reflects persistent external positions across major economies, increasing trade tensions and widening net international investment positions (NIIPs).
A current account balance records an economy’s transactions with the rest of the world in goods, services, income and transfers. A surplus means an economy saves more than it invests domestically; a deficit means it invests more than it saves and draws on net foreign financing. Current account balances are therefore shaped by the saving and investment decisions of households, firms and governments. Persistent current account positions can be problematic when they reflect policy distortions or unsustainable saving-investment patterns, especially if deficit economies become vulnerable to shifts in foreign financing or larger external balance sheets amplify risks.
Read the full paper:
Current account imbalances, facts, drivers, and policy challenges
June 2026
by Erik Frohm, John Hooley, Fatih Ozturk, Łukasz Rawdanowicz, Nivetha Sivakumar
Economic policy by country: Country snapshots
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Critical raw minerals and the global economy
Economic Security in a Changing World: Critical raw materials supply chains
Production and international trade of CRMs has become increasingly concentrated amongst a handful of extracting and processing locations which account for the bulk of global supply. For example, the three top producing countries in 2023 accounted for more than two thirds of the global production of cobalt (78%), lithium (92%), nickel (65%) and rare earth elements (90%). Concentration of exports is particularly significant for unprocessed forms of cobalt, manganese, borates, chromium, magnesium and lithium.
Related Ecoscope blog posts
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oecdecoscope.blog16 December 2025
Latest Economic Policy Papers (cross country analysis)
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84 PagesThis paper describes the latest update of the OECD’s long-term scenarios, which are done every 2-3 years to quantify some of the most important long-term macroeconomic trends and policy challenges facing the global economy. The focus is on illustrating the output trade-off associated with transitioning to low-carbon energy sources, between the shorter-run costs of carbon mitigation and the longer-run benefits of avoided climate damages. Both are subject to considerable uncertainty, which is illustrated using several scenarios that vary according to the steepness of the climate damage curve and how quickly carbon mitigation costs decline. The paper includes two annexes detailing the changes that have been made to the projection framework, the first on the expanded country coverage and revised productivity convergence framework and the second on the new climate damage channel.Learn more
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57 PagesGlobal temperatures continue to rise despite strengthened climate mitigation efforts, increasing the likelihood of climate disasters and posing significant risks to economies. The physical risks from climate change threaten public finances, investment, inflation, international trade, and overall economic growth, underscoring the urgent need for effective climate adaptation. This paper offers several considerations for designing and implementing effective climate change adaptation strategies and policies. Specifically, it develops a practical multi-step framework that can be used to integrate adaptation into broader economic policy, consisting of three key steps: (1) identifying climate-related risks and impacts, (2) identifying adaptation actions, (3) planning and implementing adaptation. Additionally, the paper highlights various technical and institutional tools to facilitate effective adaptation, thereby promoting resilience in the face of escalating climate challenges.Learn more
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57 PagesThe paper contributes to renewed debates about industrial policy in the context of recent initiatives in several OECD economies. It discusses the pros and cons of industrial policies motivated by environmental, national security and place-based/inclusiveness objectives. The paper also considers implementation and design issues, and how to respond to industrial policies in other countries. There are well-grounded economic, social and environmental justifications for some industrial policies. However, there are legitimate concerns that the benefits of such policies could be limited and the costs high. This mainly relates to measures curbing domestic and international competition and the practical and political challenges in designing and implementing effective measures. Thus, while governments may want to experiment with future and welfare-oriented industrial policies, they should exert moderation in scope, exercise caution in design and implementation, and be mindful of possible negative international implications.Learn more
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62 PagesThis paper describes the latest update of the OECD’s long-term scenarios, which are done every 2-3 years to quantify some of the most important long-term macroeconomic trends and policy challenges facing the global economy. For the first time, this update incorporates the effect of the low-carbon energy transition. The study first presents a baseline projection that acts as a business-as-usual scenario against which the economic effects of the transition can be gauged. Next, it outlines extensions to the OECD global long-term model (LTM) to consider energy use and associated CO2 emissions and describes an alternative stylised scenario in which OECD and non-OECD G20 countries successfully transition to low-carbon energy in a way broadly consistent with a net-zero target for greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. These extensions rely on a variety of sources, but most crucially on simulations of CO2 mitigation costs with the OECD’s ENV-Linkages model. Finally, the model’s extensions are used to explore some fiscal implications of the energy transition, in particular how the negative economic effects of carbon mitigation could be alleviated by fiscal or other structural reforms.Learn more
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92 PagesGovernments rapidly provided large support to help households and firms face the 2021-22 energy price crisis. Drawing on the OECD Energy Support Measures Tracker and country case studies, this paper documents countries’ policy responses and draws lessons for enhancing countries’ preparedness to future energy price shocks. Support implemented or announced by countries so far has been largely untargeted and often fiscally costly. As such it might add to inflationary pressures and in many cases reduce incentives to save energy and transition away from fossil fuels. Reliance on imported energy, technical obstacles to implement a targeted approach and political economy constraints help explain the type of support countries provided. There is now a case for withdrawing broad-based energy support, given the recent moderation in energy prices and ongoing or planned minimum-wage and welfare-benefit increases to compensate for high inflation. Digitalisation would help improve the quality of support countries can provide to face a future energy or other crisis by speeding up payment delivery and facilitating a more targeted approach based on vulnerability factors beyond low income, such as the inability to renovate an energy-inefficient home. Ensuring that support measures maintain incentives for energy savings and encourage energy diversification, combined with investments to accelerate the green transition, is key to reducing vulnerability to energy price shocks.Learn more
Latest Working papers
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51 PagesBulgaria has successfully liberalised its economy and integrated into global value chains, creating jobs and raising incomes. However, businesses face long-standing challenges of low productivity. Catching up has been steady but a productivity gap with the more advanced economies remains. This paper calculates labour productivity and estimates total factor productivity based on Bulgarian micro data for 2018-23 collected by the National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria and Orbis for international comparison. Bulgarian firms in some manufacturing industries such as garments or manufacturing of machinery and equipment are less productive than other countries in the greater region, while they are more productive in some services, such as computer programming. As expected, larger and foreign firms, exporters and those located in the region around Sofia are more productive. The paper estimates markups to assess competitive pressures, and such estimates are very high in a few manufacturing industries, such as pharmaceuticals and transport equipment, and a large number of service industries such as utilities, trade of vehicles, accommodation and commerce, raising concerns about the level of competition in those markets.Learn more
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63 PagesThis paper presents updated estimates of long-run fiscal gaps for 35 OECD and accession candidate countries using the OECD Global Long-Term Model. The long-run fiscal gap measures the fiscal adjustment required at the 2060 horizon to keep public debt ratios stable near current levels while maintaining current service standards and benefit entitlements. The methodology incorporates several refinements, including projected increases in defence spending and a more detailed treatment of primary expenditure. In the absence of additional policy action, the median country would require a fiscal adjustment of 4.7 percentage points of GDP between 2027 and 2060 to stabilise debt, with substantially larger adjustments in some countries. Population ageing is the main driver of long-run fiscal pressures through higher pension, health and long-term care spending, compounded in many cases by weak initial fiscal positions. The paper also assesses the sensitivity of fiscal gaps to key assumptions and policy scenarios.Learn more
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89 PagesThis paper develops a micro-based, bottom-up approach to quantify the macroeconomic costs of climate change. It combines empirically estimated local climate damages with a global spatial general equilibrium model: the Climate and Adaptation Spatial General Equilibrium Model (OECD-CASGEM). The model links location-specific climate hazards to economy-wide outcomes through trade, migration, production networks, and factor adjustments, capturing the role of spatial and economic adjustments as adaptation shaping aggregate and regional losses. Estimated global GDP per capita losses amount to 3% by 2050 and 6.3% by 2100 under a current-policy scenario (SSP2-4.5) and to 6% and 18%, respectively, under a high-emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), with large associated uncertainty. Losses are highly uneven across regions and are larger in lower-latitude countries and those historically more exposed to climate hazards. Counterfactual simulations show that trade linkages, migration and production networks can dampen or amplify aggregate losses depending on countries’ exposure, economic structure and position in global networks. Spatial mechanisms, in particular, reduce cross-regional dispersion in impacts, effectively operating as a form of implicit loss-sharing across locations.Learn more
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45 PagesRestraint clauses that prevent workers from joining or starting a competing firm – commonly known as non-compete clauses – are traditionally justified to protect legitimate business interests. Yet, such clauses may suppress job mobility, business dynamism and competition, with adverse consequences for productivity growth. This paper presents the first harmonised cross-country evidence on the link between non-compete clauses and productivity performance. Merging novel data on industry-country-level prevalence of non-compete clauses with firm-level data from Orbis, we find that a higher non-compete prevalence is associated with weaker productivity enhancing labour-reallocation and slower knowledge diffusion. The estimates translate into meaningful aggregate productivity losses (1.9% for a 10 percentage point increase in non-compete incidence). While the economic “bite” of non-competes on productivity seems larger in countries where firms have greater freedom to deploy them, it remains negative in countries where non-competes are more tightly regulated. This underscores the idea that non-compete clause can exert “chilling effects” even when they are unlikely to be upheld by courts, raising questions about whether current regulatory frameworks are fit for purpose.Learn more
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35 PagesThis paper develops a framework to evaluate the potential economic gains from deeper participation in global value chains (GVCs). The approach combines measures of revealed comparative advantage with estimates of value-added distribution along GVCs to identify opportunities for upgrading into higher–value-added production stages. It then quantifies the long-term economic effects of such upgrading using a structural gravity model. The framework is applied to Costa Rica’s electronics sector, a key focus of the country’s strategy to expand its role in the semiconductor value chain. The findings indicate that strengthening Costa Rica’s position within the electronics GVC could lead to substantial long-term increases in exports, output, and real wages.Learn more