Populist civil society, the Wagner Group, and post-coup politics in Mali
The military coup of August 2020 upended Mali’s fragile liberal democratic order.
The junta-led transitionary government defies international pressure to fasten the
return of democratically-elected rulers and constitutional rule. The ability of the
junta to shape the course of Malian politics rests on two interconnected pillars.
First, there is public resentment towards the post-1991 political class and France’s
military involvement in the country. The forces representing that resentment view
the junta as change makers and have formed influential political organisations that
oppose there turn to the status quo ante. Second, there is the security co-operation
with Russian mercenaries, which provides the transitionary government with an alternative
security partner. The paper traces the origins, evolution, and the future strength
of these pillars. It concludes by outlining future political scenarios and the future
role of the military in Malian politics.
Available from July 12, 2022
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