ITF Transport Outlook 2021

The ITF Transport Outlook 2021 provides scenarios for the development of transport demand up to 2050. It also models transport decarbonisation scenarios and their impacts on climate change. Based on this, the ITF Transport Outlook 2021 identifies decisions that policy makers will need to take to ensure a transition to sustainable mobility that is effective as well as equitable. This edition includes a special focus on the impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on transport systems, and models potential long-term changes with challenges and opportunities for decarbonisation.

Published on May 17, 2021Also available in: French

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Reader’s guide
Executive summary
Reshaping transport for a cleaner environment and fairer societies
Pathways to decarbonise transport by 2050
Urban passenger transport: Cities can make mobility sustainable, equitable and resilient
Non-urban passenger transport: A pivotal sector for greening transport
Freight transport: Bold action can decarbonise movement of goods
Statistical Annex
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Key recommendations

Align Covid-19 recovery packages

Recovery offers a singular chance to combine economic development and increased opportunities with shifting mobility behaviour and scaling up low-carbon technologies.

Implement ambitious decarbonisation policies

Governments must set themselves ambitious targets and underpin them with concrete policies to reverse the growth of transport CO2 emissions.

Shift the priority to improving accessibility

Transport planning that serves citizens will consider their desired destinations and focus on how well transport options connect them.