Global Plastics Outlook

Policy Scenarios to 2060

The global community is far from achieving its objective of ending plastic pollution, unless more stringent and co-ordinated policies are implemented. A key question is: What are the plausible scenarios for the evolution of plastics in the absence of additional measures and, as well, with scaled-up policy action? The Global Plastics Outlook: Policy Scenarios to 2060 provides such a forward-looking perspective. The report presents a set of coherent projections on plastics to 2060, including plastics use, waste as well as the environmental impacts linked to plastics, especially leakage to the environment. Such an outlook on plastics can help policy makers understand the scale of the challenge to transition to a more sustainable and circular use of plastics and the need for additional policy action. By identifying two policy packages to bend the plastic curve, the Outlook allows for a better understanding of the environmental benefits and economic consequences of adopting stringent policies. This second report is a follow-up to the first report – Global Plastics Outlook: Economic Drivers, Environmental Impacts and Policy Options – which quantified current trends in plastics use, waste generation and leakage, as well as identified four policy levers to curb the environmental impacts of plastics.

Published on June 21, 2022Also available in: French


Abbreviations and acronyms
Executive summary
Overview and policy highlights
Baseline scenario5 chapters available
Economic projections to 2060
Plastics use projections to 2060
Plastic waste projections to 2060
Projections of plastic leakage to the environment to 2060
Projections of the environmental impacts of the plastics lifecycle to 2060
Policy scenarios to bend the plastics curve3 chapters available
The Regional Action policy scenario
The Global Ambition policy scenario
Interactions between plastics and climate mitigation policies
Annexes2 chapters available
Modelling framework
Details on the Baseline, Regional Action, Global Ambition, and Climate Mitigation scenarios
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