Leading indicators and tendency surveys

CLIs continue to increase at a steady pace

OECD: steady  increase

9 June 2021 - The OECD Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to point to a steady expansion in the OECD area as a whole.

For all major OECD economies, the CLIs now point to a steady expansion. The CLIs have continued to increase steadily in the United States, Japan, Canada and in the euro area as a whole, including Germany and Italy. Although remaining below trend,the CLIs for the United Kingdom and France nowalsosignal a steady expansion.

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• Publication dates

The OECD Consumer Barometer

31 May 2021 - In a moderation of the positive April trend, most countries continue to signal improvements in consumer sentiment in May. That being said, there has been a meaningful weakening in sentiment over the period, with countries including Australia and the United States now pointing to a deterioration.

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Behind the numbers

• Statistical Insights
• Statistics Brief
• Statistics news releases
• Ad-hoc CLI country studies

Statistical references 

• Business tendency surveys: a handbook
• OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators
• CLI and BTS Glossary
• CACIS software

Further analysis

• Interpreting CLIs
• Cycle extraction
• Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 
• Meetings