Leading indicators and tendency surveys

CLIs continue to expand steadily

OECD area: Steady increase

12 July 2021 - The OECD Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to expand steadily in the OECD area as a whole and in some large emerging-market economies.

Among major OECD economies, the CLIs remain above trend and continue to expand at a steady pace in the United States, Japan and Canada as well as in the euro area as a whole, including Germany and Italy. The CLI for the United Kingdom is still expanding and has now reached above trend levels. In France, the CLI continues to grow steadily but remains below trend.

• Read more

• Publication dates

The OECD Consumer Barometer

30 June 2021 - In line with May trend, most countries continue to signal ongoing optimism in June consumer sentiment. Very strong recovery for Brazil, Canada and Japan, while consumer sentiment is persistently deteriorating for Australia, Denmark and South Africa, which is now at the onset of a third wave of COVID-19.

• Find out more

Behind the numbers

• Statistical Insights
• Statistics Brief
• Statistics news releases
• Ad-hoc CLI country studies

Statistical references 

• Business tendency surveys: a handbook
• OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators
• CLI and BTS Glossary
• CACIS software

Further analysis

• Interpreting CLIs
• Cycle extraction
• Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 
• Meetings