Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 6: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
CLIs continue to point to a moderating pace of expansion in economic activity |
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OECD area: Moderating growth
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12 Oct. 2021 - The pace of expansion in economic activity in the OECD area as a whole looks set to continue to moderate after the post-pandemic rebound, according to the latest OECD Composite Leading Indicators. The CLIs continue to anticipate a moderating pace of expansion at above trend level in Canada, the euro area as a whole and the United Kingdom, as reported last month. Similar indications have now emerged in the United States and Japan. |
The OECD Consumer Barometer |
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4 Oct. 2021 - Slowly but surely - September figures for the OECD Consumer Barometer indicate a tentative attempt at recovery as compared to last month’s data, possibly held back by unfavourable inflation expectations among consumers.
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Behind the numbers |
Statistical references
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Further analysis |