Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 6: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
The OECD Consumer Barometer |
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30 June 2022 - Consumer confidence across OECD countries declines further, hitting lowest levels since the 2008 financial crisis in most countries.
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Leading indicators point to a loss of growth momentum in the OECD |
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OECD area: Growth losing momentum |
13 June 2022 - Growth may lose momentum in the OECD area as a whole over the next six to nine months, according to the latest OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs). The latest leading indicators, which aim to anticipate cyclical fluctuations in economic activity, support the view presented in the latest OECD Economic Outlook, which revised global growth forecasts downwards due to the impact of the war in Ukraine and continued supply-chain disruptions. |
Behind the numbers |
Statistical references
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Further analysis |