Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 7: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
The OECD Consumer Barometer |
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03 May 2021 - In a continuation of the March trend, given the data available (mostly European at this time), the OECD Consumer Barometer signals a positive trend in consumer confidence in April.
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CLIs continue to strengthen in most major economies |
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13 Apr 2021 - The OECD Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to strengthen in most major economies. In the United States, the CLI continues to increase at a steady pace, driven an expansion in the consumer confidence. In Japan, Canada and the euro-area as a whole, particularly in Germany and Italy, the CLIs now point to a steady increase. In France, and now the United Kingdom, the CLIs signal stable growth. |
Behind the numbers |
Statistical references
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Further analysis |