In 2019, the implementation period of the on-going State Programme was extended from 2020 to 2025. Food security based on import substitution remains the principal agricultural policy objective. However, export development and income growth of rural households are emphasised as additional objectives. The following growth targets in nominal terms are to be met by 2025 relative to 2017, the year ending the first phase of the State Programme: increase in agricultural production by 16.3%; increase in agricultural value added by RUB 2 079.6 billion (USD 32 billion)2 to reach a total of RUB 5 774 billion (USD 89 billion); more than a doubling of exports; and increase of fixed capital investments in agriculture by 21.8% (GRF, 2019[10]).
The structure of the State Programme was again modified in 2019 and at present incorporates six projects and four programmes. Projects have a fixed timeframe, while programmes represent continuous processes. The State Programme’s projects are: 1) development of the sub-sectors which ensure accelerated import substitution; 2) stimulation of investment activity; 3) technical modernisation; 4) export of products of the agro-industrial complex; 5) support systems for family farming and development of rural co-operation; and 6) digital agriculture. The four programmes are: a) development of land reclamation complex; b) ensuring general conditions of the functioning of the agro-industrial complex (covering market interventions, assistance related to abnormal climate and animal disease events and some other measures); c) scientific and technological support for the development of the agro-industrial complex; and d) veterinary and phytosanitary surveillance. Digital agriculture and agricultural export are new components of the State Programme, introduced, respectively, in 2018 and 2019. The project on digital agriculture aims at supporting the sector’s development through the introduction of digital technologies and platform solutions, including the creation, in 2020, of a Single Window sub-platform for collecting industry data from the national Digital Agriculture platform. Details on the agricultural export project are presented below in the section on trade policy.
The current version of the State Programme also emphasises family farming more explicitly. Thus, being previously scattered across other parts of the State Programme, measures related to support to family farms and rural co-operatives are now presented as one stand-alone project (project 5 above). Starting from 2020, the activity on rural development has been excluded from this State Programme and will be implemented as a separate, self-standing State Programme on integrated rural development (discussed below).
Apart from these new features, the current State Programme maintains the previous directions of support and the underlying measures. However, the project-and-programme approach is intended to improve the Programme’s administration and efficiency of spending. Of the aggregate funding during the whole implementation period, around 40% are to be budgetary sources (federal and regional) and the remaining 60% are to be mobilised from extra-budgetary sources, which include profits from commercial activities of public institutions, investments from private businesses, non-governmental organisations, and other sources (GRF, 2019[10]).
According to preliminary information, the federal budget allocated RUB 311 billion (USD 4.8 billion) to the State Programme in 2019, which is 6% more than last year (MoA, 2019[11]; State Treasury, 2020[12]). Around 35% of this expenditure was directed to stimulation of investment activities (project 2 above) consisting of interest subsidies on bank loans and the co-financing of investment projects, and nearly 20% was spent on the development of the import-substituting subsectors (project 1 above) covering key production subsidies (State Treasury, 2020[12]). This federal spending was topped up by contributions from the regions across the components of the State Programme. In addition, regions provided strictly regional support beyond the State Programme.
The federal funding for the State Programme for 2020 is planned at nearly RUB 284 billion (USD 4.4 billion), which is below the corresponding budget target set for 2019 at the beginning of that year (FL, 2018[13]; FL, 2019[14]). The projects on stimulation of investment activities and development of import-substituting subsectors are to absorb around two-thirds of total federal funding for the State Programme in 2020.
Grain market interventions were not particularly active during the monitoring period. The government announced market price maximums for grains for the 2018/19 and 2019/20 seasons which, if prices rise, would trigger public grain sales. However, due to abundant supplies, relatively small sales from intervention stocks were made during the 2018/2019 season, while no grain purchases have been carried out since the 2016/17 season due to high public stocks. In the first half of 2018, the grain industry benefitted from reduced transportation tariffs on domestic grain shipments from several distant regions in Siberia to other country regions. This preference was renewed for the period between 9 April and 31 July 2019. This measure adds to the temporary waiver of wheat export duty in effect since September 2016 (see trade policy developments). In August 2019, the government approved a “Long-term Strategy for Development of the Grain Sector up to 2035” (GRF, 2019[15]). Among others, it states the goal to develop a technologically advanced, competitive, innovative and investor-attractive grain industry. The key activities to achieve this goal are improvements in crop selection and seed production, technologies and machinery, quality testing, phytosanitary work, and infrastructure and logistics. Grain export enhancement is an important focus of the strategy, which, among other activities, foresees substantial private investments in export infrastructure.
Interest subsidies on short-term loans and investment credit, investment grants, leasing of machinery, equipment and livestock at preferential terms, and production subsidies in the form of the area payment and unified payment continued to constitute the bulk of producer support. The unified payment was introduced in 2017, integrating 27 previous individual subsidies across different components of the State Programme. This includes several subsidies for crop and livestock production, subsidies for insurance and interest on short-term credit, support of small-scale farmers, and the assistance provided within the previous component on “economically important regional programmes”. The purpose of the unified payment had been to simplify the budgeting and transfer of funds from the federal centre to regions. Regions top-up this payment and continue to allocate it across individual supports included in the unified payment, with producers, as previously, receiving the assistance in the form of individual supports. Every year regions can select specific types of individual supports within the unified payment depending on regional priorities.
Some changes in the implementation of the unified payment and the area payment for crops were introduced reflecting the efforts to increase agricultural insurance. Insurance covered 5% of total area planted to annual and perennial crops in 2016 and 1.7% in 2018 (MoA, 2019[11]). Starting from 2019, crop and livestock insurance have separate budgetary earmarks within the unified payment and the area payment to ensure potential uptake of this support by the regions.
The Ministry of Agriculture announced further changes in the implementation of the unified payment, area payment, and milk payment. Starting from 2020, the federal contribution previously directed to these subsidies is to be provided in two parts: one part will be used for “compensatory” support and another one for “stimulative” support. At the regional level, both parts will be topped-up from the regional budgets and allocated to specific supports depending on regional priorities. The range of the support elements available for selection by the regions remains the same as before (around 30 specific payments, of which 27 could previously be sourced from the unified payment at the regional level). The funds of the “compensatory” support are to be used to subsidise production at current levels, while the funds for “stimulative” support are to be used to subsidise planned increases in production. The regions select the products whose output they plan to increase and which thus becomes eligible for the “stimulative” part of the federal funding. The Ministry foresees to increase gradually the share of “stimulative” part against that of “compensatory” part of support. The concrete modalities of the new mechanism have not been officially approved at the moment of writing. However, the overall intention of this initiative seems to be an increase of the output-boosting effect of production subsidies.
The launch in 2020 of the State Programme on “Integrated Development of Rural Territories” for the period of 2020-25 was an important development (GRF, 2019[16]; Serova et al., 2020[17]). It foresees a considerable increase of investments in rural development. The federal budget plan earmarked RUB 36 billion (USD 555 million) for 2020 for this Programme, which is three-fold the average level of annual investments in rural development in 2016-19. In addition to federal investments, the Programme foresees to attract funds from the regional budgets and extra-budgetary sources. Investments are to be focussed on housing, development of human resource capacity, rural infrastructure, and improved provision of services in rural areas. The Ministry of Agriculture is the main implementing body. Ministries responsible for economic development, construction, road building, transport, education, environment, health, sports, culture, communications, and development of specific regions also participate in the implementation of this Programme.
In the context of climate change and sustainability, the following policy frameworks and developments are of importance. On 6 October 2019, the Russian Federation became a fully-fledged participant of the Paris Agreement on Climate by ratifying the Agreement, which it signed in April 2016 (GRF, 2019[18]). In 2014, the government approved an action plan for the reduction of greenhouse emissions. It focuses on the development of a regulatory and operational framework to achieve this goal, such as the systems for registration, evaluation and projection of emissions, as well as state regulation of emissions. As part of this plan, a draft law on the regulation of greenhouse emissions was prepared in 2018 and is currently under a regulatory impact assessment (GRF, 2018[19]). This document formulates general definitions, principles and instruments of state regulation of emissions, but at this stage does not contain any specific general or sectorial reduction targets. The other main national policy documents related to climate change are the “Climate Doctrine of the Russian Federation” (PRF, 2009[20]), and the “Comprehensive Plan for the Implementation of the Climate Doctrine of the Russian Federation for the period until 2020” (GRF, 2011[21]). The Climate Doctrine sets out a conceptual framework for the national activities on climate change, while the Comprehensive Plan formulates a unified state policy in that area. The latter spells out key actions assigned to the ministries and public agencies. In accordance with the Climate Doctrine and the Comprehensive Plan, the Ministry of Agriculture is tasked to promote climate adaptation practices such as adaptive landscape farming systems, sustainable water, air, and nutritional regimes, encourage the introduction of new agricultural crop varieties, and the optimisation of crop conditions based on long-term forecasts. Another policy document, the State Programme for the Development of Agriculture, as the main sectoral policy framework, has among its objectives the creation of favorable conditions for the efficient use of land; it also foresees investments in land reclamation and support of innovations for resource saving and energy efficiency. Beyond the long-term activities included in the framework policy documents mentioned above, policy measures have been emerging in the context of recurrent climatic disasters of the past years. Thus, attention has been given to creating a more formal regulatory basis for coping with the consequences of abnormal natural events. This includes the establishment of formal procedures for state support in respect of catastrophic weather events, such as the budgeting of the financial assistance through different administrative levels, and the assessment of damage and restoration costs (GRF, 2014[22]; MoA, 2015[23]).
The country’s first law on organic products took effect on 1 January 2020 (FL, 2018[24]). It regulates production, storage, transportation, labelling, and marketing of organic products. The law formulates the basic terms, such as “organic products”, “organic agriculture”, “producers of organic products”; it introduces a graphical label for organic products; it defines the basic requirements for the production of organic products; it stipulates the maintenance of a unified state register of developers of organic products; and it provides for a voluntary confirmation of the conformity of the production of organic products by certification bodies accredited in the national accreditation system. This law, however, states that voluntary confirmation of conformity does not replace the obligatory confirmation of conformity of organic products in the cases when this is required by the legislation of the Eurasian Economic Union and the Russian Federation.3 The country’s organic food industry is in the early stages of development, so the government expects this new law to provide impetus to the evolution of this sector. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, about 100 certified producers of organic products operate in the country, and the value of the organic product market is estimated at more than EUR 180 million, or 0.2% of the world organic production (MoA, 2019[25]). Some estimates also indicate that imported organic products currently account for up to 80% of the Russian Federation’s organic food market (USDA, 2019[26]).
The government sees a considerable growth potential for the demand for environmentally clean products in the Russian Federation both on domestic and foreign markets. The federal Ministry of Agriculture has prepared a draft law on agricultural products, raw materials and food with improved ecological characteristics which at the moment of writing has gone through public discussion, but has not yet been submitted to parliament. Currently, work is underway to create an appropriate regulatory framework, including a set of national standards (MoA, 2019[25]).
In November 2018, the amendments on bioethanol for fuel use were introduced to the 1995 Federal Law which regulates production and turnover of ethyl alcohol, alcoholic and alcohol-containing products (FL, 2018[27]).4 The changes include a new clause containing the definition of bioethanol, exclusion of bioethanol from excise taxation and from the minimum price regulation for ethyl alcohol. Other amendments relate to the licensing of production, storage and supply of bioethanol, requirements for the equipment used for bioethanol production, and other issues. The amended Law also stipulates a ban on the production of bioethanol from food raw materials to exclude the possibility of using it as a surrogate of alcoholic beverages.
The State Programme “Preservation of the Environment” was launched as a cross-sectoral framework in October 2018, with the implementation horizon currently set at up to 2024. Through this Programme, the Russian Federation intends to make its major contribution to the Paris Agreement and achieve other national goals of sustainable development. The Programme integrates specific components on areas of prime environmental importance, such as industrial and urban waste management; clean air; clean water; rehabilitation and preservation of unique water sources, including the Volga river and lake Baikal and others; preservation of biodiversity; preservation of forests; and adoption of the best available technologies with the focus on “green” technologies. Although none of these components specifically target agriculture, this sector can potentially be among the main beneficiaries of this State Programme through the effects of better waste management, reduced water and air pollution, forest rehabilitation, as well as the availability of support for the adoption of green technologies.