Bulgaria Economic Snapshot

Economic Forecast Summary (November 2022)

Economic Outlook Note - Bulgaria

GDP growth is projected to slow to 1.7% in 2023 before rebounding to 3.1% in 2024, supported by investments from EU funds. Exports will be adversely affected by the deteriorating macroeconomic situation in Europe, while high energy prices and rising interest rates will weigh on consumption. Inflation will slowly decline amidst stabilising energy prices and subdued economic activity.


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Reform Priorities (April 2021)

Going for Growth 2021 - Bulgaria

The pandemic risks interrupting impressive income convergence and raises the urgency of making growth more inclusive. Addressing long-standing patchy coverage of social benefits and improving provision and efficiency of education and training should become top policy priorities in the recovery.

©Shutterstock/Anton Petrus

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2021 Structural Reform Priorities

  • Social protection: Reducing poverty and social exclusion
  • Education and skills: Increasing skills at all ages
  • Competition and regulation: Enhancing the business environment to facilitate reallocation
  • Governance and legal system: Improving governance for a stronger post-COVID-19 recovery
  • Fiscal framework and infrastructure: Increasing public investment to support growth


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Economic Assessment of Bulgaria (29 January 2021)

Executive Summary

Executive Summary (Bulgarian)