Bulgaria Economic Snapshot

Economic Forecast Summary (December 2021)

The economy is projected to grow by 3¼ per cent in 2021 and to accelerate in 2022-23 with GDP growth ranging between 4¼ and 4½ per cent. The renewed dynamism of exports, the strength of investments supported by significant EU funds and the robust momentum of private consumption should stimulate activity. Inflation is rising sharply due to the surge in energy prices and the tightening of the labour market, and is expected to see its underlying level reach 2¼ per cent in 2023, the highest rate since 2010.


Reform Priorities (April 2021)

Going for Growth 2021 - Bulgaria

The pandemic risks interrupting impressive income convergence and raises the urgency of making growth more inclusive. Addressing long-standing patchy coverage of social benefits and improving provision and efficiency of education and training should become top policy priorities in the recovery.

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2021 Structural Reform Priorities

  • Social protection: Reducing poverty and social exclusion
  • Education and skills: Increasing skills at all ages
  • Competition and regulation: Enhancing the business environment to facilitate reallocation
  • Governance and legal system: Improving governance for a stronger post-COVID-19 recovery
  • Fiscal framework and infrastructure: Increasing public investment to support growth


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Economic Assessment of Bulgaria (29 January 2021)

Executive Summary

Executive Summary (Bulgarian)