Despite significant heterogeneity across countries, Africa faced a challenging macroeconomic context in 2023 characterised by a slowdown in economic growth, high inflation, declines in global oil, gas and minerals prices, and higher debt service costs. Against this backdrop, tax revenues as a percentage of GDP increased in 24 countries, decreased in 13 and were unchanged in one between 2022 and 2023. However, the average tax-to-GDP ratio (total tax revenues including social security contributions as a percentage of GDP) for the 38 countries in this publication remained below the average levels in Asia and the Pacific (19.6%), Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC, 21.3%), and OECD countries (33.9%).
Chad, Gabon and Equatorial Guinea recorded the largest increases in their tax-to-GDP ratio (of 3.4 p.p., 4.9 p.p. and 4.5 p.p., respectively) in 2023, driven by increases in CIT revenues resulting from high profits from the extractive sector. In both Gabon and Equatorial Guinea, nominal tax revenues increased while nominal GDP declined over the period. By contrast, the largest decline in the tax-to-GDP ratio occurred in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and was due to a fall in CIT revenues, which had peaked at 5.6% of GDP in 2022.
Higher CIT revenues drove the average increase in tax revenues for the second consecutive year across the 38 countries, rising by 0.3 p.p. in 2023. Revenues from taxes on goods and services rose by 0.1% of GDP on average over the period, driven by an increase in revenues from value added taxes (VAT) of the same magnitude.
Tax-to-GDP ratios have risen in many African countries over the last ten years, reflecting ongoing efforts to enhance fiscal systems. Between 2013 and 2023, the Africa average tax-to-GDP ratio rose by 1.4 p.p. while the averages for the LAC region and OECD countries increased by 0.8 p.p. and 1.3 p.p., respectively. Tax-to-GDP ratios rose in 29 of the 38 African countries between 2013 and 2023 and declined in nine.
Revenues from all the main tax categories increased as a percentage of GDP by approximately the same amount between 2013 and 2023. Both income tax revenues and revenues from taxes on goods and services increased by 0.6 p.p. Taxes on goods and services remained the main source of tax revenues in Africa, accounting for an average of 51.2% of total tax revenues in 2023, with VAT accounting for 26.6% of total taxation. Meanwhile, taxes on income and profits accounted for 40% of total tax revenues on average in 2023: 16.5% from personal income tax (PIT) and 21.4% from CIT.