Development partners are compelled to deliver greater development impact with fewer resources, prompting renewed reflection on how ODA is used and leveraged. Across many DAC members, ODA budgets are under pressure from domestic austerity measures, shifting political priorities, and competing demands related to migration, security and global public goods. ODA dropped in real terms by 7% from 2023 to 2024 and is estimated to decrease by 11% to 20% from 2024 to 2027, with disproportionate impacts on the poorest countries and sectors like health (OECD, 2025[1]).
These constraints can reduce flexibility, heighten scrutiny and lower risk tolerance, inadvertently weakening local ownership by narrowing the space for adaptive, trust-based partnerships required for LLD. They may also coincide with reduced human resource capacities in donor administrations, creating incentives to concentrate funding in a limited number of large intermediaries to manage administrative burden. At the same time, they create an impetus to rethink delivery models and partnership modalities to enhance efficiency and sustainability. While international civil society organisations, contractors and United Nations agencies are likely to remain central intermediaries, DAC members are increasingly exploring ways to channel support through locally rooted organisations and systems.