At the heart of MOIPs, governments express well-defined objectives related to a societal challenge, in a defined timeframe. The mission statements are only the first step in providing direction. Mission owners need to break down missions into more specific pathways for how they will achieve the overarching goals using roadmaps and theories of change (OECD, 2024[2]). These types of documents support governments in developing a common narrative around the missions and are important vehicles in inspiring stakeholders, including the private sector. A set of clear short- and long-term goals helps provide certainty for businesses, value chains and investors regarding the scale and rate of change they can expect from government. These goals can create savings for business (e.g., avoiding higher prices of energy or taxation in the future, as well as potentially broader costs of climate change), lower the risk of their own investment decisions, and spur more long term thinking from the private sector (Morgan, Levin and Song, 2015[20]). In this regard, the existence of more precise roadmaps and theories of change to provide clearer guidance on how to achieve the missions is the third most common strength for framing a mission from the mission survey (representing 16% of the responses for strengths under this theme).
Businesses want these types of documents to be easily understandable and have clear boundaries. These visions can be altered over time to reflect the current business environment but should stay true to the overarching goal. Some businesses have found the missions they participated in lacked an overall plan, or even a desired end state, which made it difficult for them to understand how to contribute at first. This is unhelpful for companies, who are looking for a level of certainty from governments. One example of how to develop these documents is Sweden’s Impact Innovation Programme, which has theories of change for its five programmes, as well as an overall theory of change for the programme. These documents provide sub-objectives, identify key leavers of change and corresponding activities, and suggest actors who will lead the progress on these activities. In the Netherlands’ Mission Driven Top-Sector and Innovation Policy, it sets annual plans to implement broader four-year agendas, which it suggests help stakeholders see the big picture.
At the same time, the biggest weakness mission managers have framing missions (45%) is striking the right balance on the mission scope and level of ambition and the third biggest weakness is the lack of roadmaps and theories of change to guide their work (16%). Many policymakers have experienced a degree of ‘buyers’ remorse’ after setting their mission goals, as they were too narrow or too broad, they were not able to be measured, or key stakeholders were not enthused in supporting the goals.