Assuming that immigrants select destinations according to absolute returns to their observable and unobservable human capital, I present a human capital model of migration accounting for taxes, transfers and limited portability of skills. The model predicts both segmented sorting of migrants to countries with a compressed income distribution, with negative sorting increasing with lower portability and positive sorting increasing with portability. Sorting to countries with greater income dispersion increases unambiguously with host-country relevant skills. Migrants to countries with compressed incomes will hence be more likely to be either out of work or overqualified and low-paid compared to natives with similar observable skills, and compared to migrants to countries with greater income dispersion. Regressions results on data for 16 OECD countries from the OECD Survey of Adult Skills are in line with the model. Controlling for observable skills and characteristics, including a literacy test score, immigrants from countries that are less wealthy or further away in geographical and cultural distance are significantly more likely to be either out of work or overqualified and low-paid in high-benefit countries. Wage compression, generous transfers and high taxes, typical traits of the so-called “Nordic” or “Flexicurity” model, may therefore contribute to making immigrant integration more challenging.
How self‑sorting affects migrants’ labour market outcomes
Working paper
Share
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Abstract
In the same series
-
Working paper
The macroeconomic cost of climate change
4 September 202689 Pages -
Working paper
Evidence from Costa Rica’s electronics sector
17 July 202635 Pages -
17 July 202645 Pages
-
Working paper
Calibrating stochastic debt sustainability analysis models
15 July 202640 Pages -
30 June 202667 Pages
-
Working paper19 June 202652 Pages
Related publications
-
16 September 202654 Pages
-
30 June 202656 Pages
-
Policy paper18 June 202647 Pages
-
Policy paper18 June 202651 Pages