The global community is far from achieving its objective of ending plastic pollution, unless more stringent and co-ordinated policies are implemented. A key question is: What are the plausible scenarios for the evolution of plastics in the absence of additional measures and, as well, with scaled-up policy action?
This technical document presents a novel approach to modelling and projecting plastic use and waste, relying on the OECD ENV-Linkages computable general equilibrium model. This report also highlights the contribution of the approach to the existing literature on plastics projections and compares the results of ENV-Linkages with those from other studies. This modelling approach was used for the publication of the OECD Global Plastic Outlook (2022).