Economic convergence with the OECD’s most advanced economies has continued in recent years. However, growth has relied on employment gains, while weak productivity growth since the global financial crisis has maintained a sizeable productivity gap with the upper half of OECD countries. Gross fixed investment has improved, but mostly in housing. As the population ages and the working-age population shrinks, sustaining growth will require stronger productivity improvements and further increases in labour force participation.
Productivity and investment would benefit from structural reforms, such as deepening capital markets and streamlining permitting processes. Removing tax disincentives for second earners and single parents to work full-time is needed to boost labour supply. Growth-friendly tax reforms should reduce the labour tax burden, funded by higher consumption, environmental, and recurrent immovable property taxation.