Modest GDP per capita growth over the past decade has been largely driven by increasing labour participation, but productivity per hour worked has lagged peer countries. Business investment has been subdued, slowing capital deepening, while total factor productivity growth has remained low. The Netherlands’ long-term prosperity is held back by labour shortages, weak investment, and sluggish productivity growth.
Increasing labour supply while also strengthening productivity growth is essential. Labour participation is high, but average hours worked are low compared to peer OECD countries, especially for second earners. Addressing persistent skill shortages through a stronger culture of lifelong learning could help boost human capital. Streamlining the complex tax system and reducing its distortive incentives could support productivity growth.