Previous work on anticipating skills needs by the OECD and the ILO, with the contribution of the WHO and with support from the ILO-OECD-WHO Working for Health (W4H) Programme and Multi-Partner Trust Fund, has shown that labour and skill shortages, as well as mismatches, in the health and care workforce are pervasive (OECD/ILO, 2022[1]). Enabling entry into the health and care workforce is paramount to address these shortages. Labour-market entry can be facilitated through a range of policies beyond initial education, through the fostering of flexible career pathways. Flexible career pathways provide workers with multiple entry points into health and care careers. The objective of this report is to examine the policies that support flexible career and training pathways to entry-level jobs in the healthcare sector and present examples of good practices in selected OECD and low-and middle‑income countries.1
Shortages in the health and care workforce are reported in many countries across the world. Mostly due to demographic change, population ageing will likely increase the demand for health and care workers while at the same time, ageing of the health and care workforce will lead to increased strain on provision as a large number of current health and care workers will retire in the near future. Shortage in the healthcare sector exist both in terms of numbers of professionals and in terms of the skills needed to work with a new epidemiological and socio‑economic profile of populations, new technologies, and to adapt to new tasks. These shortages have been documented in detail in previous work (OECD/ILO, 2022[1]).
The consequences of skill gaps and shortages in the health and care workforce are particularly costly. They can increase patient waiting lists, create an overload of work for the staff available, increase burnout and reduce job satisfaction among medical staff, and ultimately result in poor patient care (Kane et al., 2007[2]; Jun et al., 2021[3]). These costs come in addition to the negative economic consequences usually associated with skill mismatches and shortages in other sectors of the economy, including lower productivity and growth (OECD, 2016[4]). A projected global shortage of 11.1 million health and care workers by 2030 underscores the urgent need for sustained investment in education, professional development and recognition systems, supported by stronger quality assurance mechanisms to ensure meaningful competency validation and workforce readiness (World Health Organization, 2016[5]; Noyes et al., 2020[6]).
Shortages and geographical variation in the health and care workforce are likely to explain a large part of the unmet needs for medical care. In 2021, on average across OECD countries, 2.3% of the population reported having unmet healthcare needs due to waiting times, cost and distance. However, the average masks large differences between countries, with unmet needs affecting 8% of the population in Estonia while being negligeable in Germany and the Netherlands.
In Southeast Asia, substantial advancements have been made towards achieving universal health coverage. The Universal Health Coverage (UHC) Service Coverage Index (SCI) has increased by approximately 30 points between 2000 and 2019 for the region, largely due to improvements in populous countries such as Indonesia. Despite this progress, the region’s current UHC SCI of 61 still reflects gaps in health access. In South Asia, the average UHC SCI reached 53 points as of 2020, with most countries showing improvement since 2017. Currently, approximately 3.1 billion people globally lack effective UHC coverage, with nearly one‑third of this population residing in South Asia (Lozano, Rafael et al., 2020[7]). This underscores the urgent need to address health inequalities.
In the WHO Africa region, population growth is outpacing the growth of health workers. Though there was a growth in number of health workers between 2018 and 2022 in 37 countries in the region, the workforce density per 10 000 population increased in only 29 countries (WHO, 2024[8]). This illustrates that populations are growing faster than the workforce development rate. Eight2 countries increased their stock of health workers, but population growth outpaced it, while ten3 countries saw their number of health workers and their density reduce in the same time period. Though in 2030, the health workforce is anticipated to increase by 40%, the region is still expected to face a 6.1 million needs-based shortage of health workers if its disease burden is to be tackled (WHO, 2024[8]).