Statistics Working Paper N. 39- 2011/4 - This paper reports on revision properties of different de-trending and smoothing methods (cycle estimation methods), including PAT with MCD smoothing, a double Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter and the Christiano-Fitzgerald (CF) filter. The different cycle estimation methods are rated on their revision performance in a simulated real time experiment. Our goal is to find a robust method that gives
Consumer confidence in the OECD area has levelled out since January 2010, possibly announcing a new peak or maybe just indicating uncertainty in the coming months. Confidence levels remain historically low, a result of the financial crisis and indicating that the effects of the crisis are continuing to be felt by consumers who remain pessimistic about the future.
Le Manuel des enquêtes de conjoncture auprès des entreprises (PDF) est un guide pratique sur la conception et la mise en place des enquêtes de conjoncture, sur l'interprétation des résultats de telles enquêtes et leur l’utilisation pour l’analyse économique à court terme.
A guide for constructing and using composite indicators for policy makers, academics, the media and other interested parties. In particular, this handbook is concerned with indicators which compare and rank country performance.
Statistics Working Paper N. 21 - 2007/1 - This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the current period performance of the OECD composite leading indicators (CLIs) for 21 OECD Member countries and three zone aggregates (OECD area, Euro area and Major Seven countries) for which CLIs are available for a longer time period. The revisions analysis of OECD CLIs is similar to those recently undertaken by the Organisation for a range of
Statistics Working Paper N. 20 - 2006/5 - The OECD developed a System of Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs) for its member countries in the early 1980.s based on the "growth cycle" approach and up to 2006 the Organisation compiled composite leading indicators for 23 of the 30 Member countries. Country coverage has now been expanded to include recently new OECD member countries (Korea, New Zealand1, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and
Pratiques méthodologiques nationales pour chaque pays de l'OCDE disponibles en ligne. Mise à jour en temps réel.
Statistics Working Paper N. 16 - 2006/1. The OECD developed a System of Composite Leading indicators for its Member countries in the early 1980s based on the .growth cycle. approach. Today the OECD compiles composite leading indicators (CLIs) for 23 of its 30 member countries and it is envisaged to expand country coverage to include all Member countries and the major six OECD non-member economies (NMEs) monitored by the organisation
Statistics Working Paper N. 13 - 2005/3. This Handbook aims to provide a guide for constructing and using composite indicators for policy makers, academics, the media and other interested parties. While there are several types of composite indicators, this Handbook is concerned with those which compare and rank country performance in areas such as industrial competitiveness, sustainable development, globalisation and innovation. The