By early 2020, Canada’s unemployment rate had fallen to a record low level thanks to a strong economy. While this report was being finalised, however, Canada and the rest of the world were responding to a global health pandemic, COVID-19. The policy measures taken to contain the virus will have long-lasting impacts on the economy and labour markets. Early Employment Insurance claims data suggest that Canada’s unemployment rate is likely to surge. While the labour market context has changed significantly, the need to learn quickly and adapt has never been greater. Initiatives like Canada’s Future Skills and workforce innovation centers can help to promote new ways of working and learning.
The skills and qualifications needed in the workplace have been changing considerably as a result of digitalisation, globalisation and ageing. Middle-skilled jobs make up less of total employment than they once did, while the share of employment in high-skilled jobs has risen. Skills shortages have emerged, especially in jobs requiring a tertiary education, as well as those requiring a combination of digital, cognitive and social skills.
While Canadians are highly educated, they require opportunities to upskill and retrain throughout their working lives to remain employable as the world of work evolves. By international comparison, Canada’s adult learning system performs well in two areas: alignment of training with labour market needs, and coverage (the share of adults and employers who participate in job-related training). Despite having high coverage, Canada underperforms in inclusiveness (the participation of under-represented groups in adult learning). Low-skilled and older workers – who are most at risk of job loss by new technologies – are least likely to participate in adult learning. Other areas to strengthen include flexibility, guidance, financing and the quality of training.
Canada’s new skills-related programmes have the potential to improve the future-readiness of the adult learning system. The Future Skills initiative and provincial workforce innovation centres (WICs) are devoting significant public investment to testing and evaluating innovative approaches to skills development. The Future Skills Centre prioritises ways to adapt to the future labour market, while the WICs focus on improving service delivery in the current labour market. Both emphasise partnerships with labour market stakeholders. Together, these initiatives should lead to improved evidence about training programme effectiveness, which would help policy makers and practitioners select the best approaches to prepare workers for the future. By mandate, the Future Skills Centre and the WICs prioritise approaches that target under-represented groups. However, targeting low-skilled workers should be made a more explicit priority. Recommendations for how these programmes could further support a future-ready adult learning system are outlined below.
The current context invites workplaces to re-examine how they work and learn. Positioning Canada for the future requires business and government to anticipate upcoming changes, to learn quickly and to adapt. The new skills-related programmes focus on the supply side of the labour market, but the demand side is equally important. The way work is organised and people are managed matters for turning a workplace into a learning organisation. An enabling workplace environment amplifies the returns to adult learning by creating opportunities for adults to apply their newly acquired skills. Giving workers opportunities to use a broader set of skills – including creative, cognitive and social skills – also helps them to adapt to an environment where robots ably perform routine tasks. High-performance work practices – e.g. teamwork, task and working time discretion, mentoring, job rotation, incentive pay and training practices – are all strongly associated with use of a broad set of skills and informal learning. Drawing from international examples, a number of recommendations are put forward below for how Canada might stimulate good practice in this important area.