The aim of this paper is to assess the consequences of banking crises for public debt. Using an unbalanced panel of 154 countries from 1980 to 2006, the paper shows that banking crises are associated with a significant and long-lasting increase in government debt. The effect is a function of the severity of the crisis. In particular, for severe crises, comparable to the most recent one in terms of output losses, banking crises are followed by a medium-term increase of about 37 percentage points in the government gross debt-to-GDP ratio. Measuring the increase in debt in this manner seems more appropriate than some of the measures used in the literature that have provided off-quoted and very large numbers for the run-up in debt. In addition, the debt ratio increased more in countries with a higher initial gross debt-to-GDP ratio and with a higher initial foreign debt-to-GDP ratio.
The Consequences of Banking Crises for Public Debt
Working paper
Share
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Abstract
In the same series
-
Working paper19 June 202652 Pages
-
15 June 2026110 Pages
-
12 June 202658 Pages
-
Working paper
New evidence from the OECD Product Market Regulation Indicators
1 June 202657 Pages -
Working paper
Insights from a new dataset of monthly card spending for 12 countries and 9 spending categories
18 May 202661 Pages -
1 April 202662 Pages
-
1 April 202627 Pages
Related publications
-
15 June 2026110 Pages
-
10 June 202620 Pages