A new internationally comparable territorial definition at the regional scale defining metropolitan and non-metropolitan regions integrates the fact that rural regions are diverse and have distinct policy needs. The new framework identifies three types of rural (e.g. non-metropolitan) regions: i) regions near a large city; ii) regions with or near a small/medium city; and iii) remote regions. Around 30% of the OECD population lives in rural regions and a clear message emerges from the distribution of people across these different types of rural region: the majority of rural populations have strong interactions with cities, as three-quarters of rural inhabitants live in regions closely connected to cities. Remote regions represent on average only a small share (8%) of the total OECD population but, in 7 OECD countries, they are home to more than 20% of the national population (e.g. mostly large, sparsely populated countries).
While important, many countries are facing population decline in rural regions. Metropolitan regions have been growing annually twice as fast as rural regions in the past two decades. As a result, in the period 2001‑19, half of OECD countries with remote regions (13 out of 28) and 25% of countries with regions near a small/medium city experienced a population decline in those types of regions, as opposed to regions near a large city.
In addition to population decline, rural regions also face challenges raised by an ageing population. Elderly dependency ratios are higher in rural regions than in metropolitan regions in almost all OECD countries. This gap reaches 9 percentage points (p.p.) in 7 OECD countries. Amongst rural regions, the ones near a large city have the highest elderly dependency ratios (33%), followed by remote regions (31%) and regions with or near a small/medium city (31%). Between 2003 and 2019, remote regions experienced the largest increases in elderly dependency.
Although most of the OECD’s rural population lives within reach of cities, the “penalty of distance” in rural economies can be quite substantial. The economic performance in rural regions in terms of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, productivity and employment rates on average is below that of metropolitan regions. In 2017, GDP per capita in rural regions was 13 p.p. below the average, 16 p.p. lower in labour productivity levels and 8 p.p. in employment rates. Amongst rural regions, the gap was the highest in regions near a small/medium city.
Recent economic shocks triggered by the global financial crisis in 2008 and the current COVID-19 pandemic have changed the economic landscape of rural economies. Rural regions, especially those far from cities, felt more strongly the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis, leaving many of them in a vulnerable position to face the economic recession caused by COVID-19.
Prior to the global financial crisis, rural remote regions were actually growing faster than other regions. This economic convergence process stopped and reverted in the post-crisis period. After the 2008 crisis, the regions near a city grew faster than other rural regions. Therefore, large cities and their surrounding regions have weathered the effects of the crisis better than other regions.
This drag in performance of regions far from cities coincided with an increase in regional inequality in almost all OECD countries. In 24 out of 28 OECD countries, regional inequality in GDP per capita increased in the post-crisis period compared to the pre-crisis period. This trend resulted from the faster rise of GDP per capita levels in top regions. Greece was the only country in which lagging regions converged with the top region (Attica) between 2017 and 2000 but this was due to the very weak performance of the latter.
Economic shocks have occurred amid large structural transformations affecting the development trajectories of all regions. Globalisation and the offshoring of manufacturing jobs to emerging economies with cheaper labour costs have gradually decoupled the production of tradeable goods away from central locations. This process has accelerated the rise of the service economy as the most important sector across OECD countries. Typically, the service sector now represents 80% of total value-added in OECD countries.
Rural economies in OECD countries have not escaped these trends and have seen their economic base shift from traditional activities towards activities connected to global value chains (GVCs) and the service sector. The service sector has increased its importance not only in cities but also in rural regions. In 2017, the share of employment in services in remote regions was 71%, only 4 p.p. below the share in metropolitan regions (75%). Nevertheless, many rural regions, especially those far from cities, are over-specialised in traditional primary activities (e.g. resource extraction). In contrast, top rural regions are specialised in high-value-added services.
A more integrated and globalised economy enables productivity gains. These gains, however, appear to generate more jobs in rural regions close to large cities. In the majority of rural regions (57% for remote, 51% for near a small city and 68% for near a large city), productivity gains also generated employment gains. However, in some rural regions, productivity gains were concomitant with labour shedding. In fact, rural regions near small/medium cities were the only regions that had a negative contribution to employment growth (-0.9%) in the decade following the global financial crisis, while regions close to large cities and remote regions had small but positive contributions (1.7% and 7%). The bulk of employment growth, 92%, occurred in metropolitan regions during this period.
In addition to the current trends shaping the performance of rural regions and well-being of citizens, a number of structural transformations, including the three megatrends (digitalisation, demographic and environmental change), are also creating opportunities and challenges in rural regions (Table 1.3).