Italy’s parliamentary election held in March 2018, resulted in a coalition led by Prime Minister Conte of the Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle) and the Lega party. Leaders of the Five Star Movement (Di Maio) and Lega (Salvini) serve as Deputy Prime Ministers. The Lega party gained ground in the May 2019 European parliamentary elections, and support for the Five Star Movement dropped (Tocci, 2019[1]). In August 2019, Deputy Prime Minister Salvini withdrew from the ruling coalition, calling for early elections. Instead, members of the Five Star Movement and the Democratic Party (Partito Democratico) struck a deal to form a new governing coalition. At the time of writing, a new government had just been formed.
Italy faces a double challenge of reviving growth and making it more inclusive. Real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in Italy has not increased since 2000, and it is well below the pre-crisis peak. Italy has held on to its credit rating of BBB, but its economy is expected to grow by only 0.1% in 2019 according to the European Commission and the IMF (Sanderson, 2019[2]). The new government has stated that it will adopt an expansive budget that does not endanger public finances (Johnson, 2019[3]).
Italy’s employment rate is at a record high with labour force unemployment at 10.6% in 2018 (OECD, 2019[4]). However, there are large regional disparities with a 20 percentage point gap between highest and lowest regional unemployment rates (OECD, 2016[5]). The increasing number of older Italians and the country’s low fertility rate have widened the intergenerational divide, threatening public spending, including pension schemes. In 2017, for every 165 people over 65 years of age, there were only 100 less than 15 (Segond, 2019[6]). Among the OECD member countries, Italy has the lowest share of young people (under age 35) working for the central government, at just 2% (OECD, 2017[7]).
Immigration has tended to dominate most policy discussions, including international development, not least because of Italy’s geographic location.