Economic convergence has lost momentum. Productivity growth has weakened, with the slowdown reflecting declining foreign direct investment, waning benefits from integration into global value chains, and persistently low innovation. Fixed investment remains subdued, limiting capital deepening relative to more advanced economies. Labour utilisation is also lagging. Employment and participation rates remain below those of peer countries, particularly among mothers with young children, contributing to a persistent gap in GDP per capita.
To reinvigorate growth, policy should focus on enhancing the innovation ecosystem, fostering a business environment more conducive to investment in new technologies and knowledge-based capital, and improving health outcomes. Improving the quality and relevance of education and training systems, bringing young mothers into the workforce alongside better activation policies targeted at re-skilling low-skilled individuals and people at risk of displacement, will also be key to alleviating skills shortages and increasing labour participation.