This chart shows how much a country’s average score has changed compared to changes seen in other countries and economies over a similar period.
Some of the smaller changes are marked in a different colour: these are not statistically significant. In practice, that means one cannot be sure whether they reflect a real change in students’ skills or just the normal variation that can appear over repeated administrations of PISA.
When a change is statistically significant, it is considered large if it is greater than 20 score points. To give a sense of scale: 20 points is roughly the amount of learning that 15-year-olds typically gain in one school year across OECD countries. So, if a country’s score falls by 20 points between two PISA assessments, it is as if students were performing at the level expected of 14-year-olds in the previous cycle.
It is important to remember that changes seen in PISA may have their roots in earlier years – before PISA started measuring them. For example, education reforms often take time to show effects, and investments in early childhood education may only become visible a decade later when those children reach 15.
Usually, large gains or losses only appear over longer periods and are the result of many smaller shifts adding up over time. But the 2018–2022 period was different: for the first time, many countries saw large declines in a very short span. This unprecedented decline can partially be attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic.