Spending reviews and budgets
The government sets multi-year limits for all departments through periodic spending reviews. These limits (ceilings) are guided by the government’s fiscal objectives and revenue forecasts, which are prepared and published by the OBR. The 2025 Spending Review set ceilings for a four-year period, with plans to revisit these after two years. As it currently stands, these spending reviews do not consider tax expenditures.
Legislative authorisation
There is no one single process for reviewing tax and spending by parliament, and parliamentary authorisation also works differently for voted and non-voted spending, such as tax credits. These differences in procedure are partly mitigated by the important role that the Treasury Committee plays in leading the scrutiny of both the spending review and budget.
Ministers generally announce tax reliefs through fiscal events, which are legislative changes made once a year, in the Autumn. However, the legislative process for tax reliefs is not the same as for expenditure, as Parliament applies different procedures to them. In several cases, tax policy proposals in the budget are adopted through the Finance Bill However, others go through bills introduced by other departments, which are not necessarily in the Finance Bill. By contrast, most expenditures are authorised through the Estimates cycle that involves a Supply and Appropriation Bill. These have different parliamentary procedures, with the Finance Bill generally receiving more intensive legislative scrutiny and debate than the appropriations.
The government can also make minor changes to existing tax expenditures through regulations; under authority Parliament has previously granted in Finance Acts or other statutes. These are usually used for technical or administrative adjustments and allow for more limited parliamentary scrutiny. In a few cases, such as with national insurance contributions and VAT, certain tax thresholds may also be altered through regulation. However, most substantive changes to what is taxed and at what rate are made through a Finance Act (which occurs annually) or other primary legislation.
Spending limits and execution
There are two constraints on tax expenditures in the United Kingdom’s fiscal framework – the government’s fiscal objectives and the welfare cap. However, beyond these general limits on fiscal policy, there are no restrictions on the overall cost or number of tax expenditures. The use of sunset clauses for specific policies is also rare (House of Commons Treasury Committee, 2023[83]).
Most governments since the 1990s have set fiscal objectives for the budget balance, public debt or both. In principle, this sets an overall constraint on fiscal policy, including the revenue impact of tax expenditures. However, regular changes to the fiscal targets since 2009 means that they have not been binding on the government’s long-term fiscal strategy (Pope, Hourston and Sangha, 2024[88]).
Since 2014, a portion of expenditure that included personal tax credits has been subject to a parliamentary approved “welfare cap” that is set in cash terms at the start of each parliamentary term with a margin to allow for forecast uncertainty. Since 2025, personal tax credits and work credits have been consolidated into universal credit, which is still subject to the welfare cap. If spending exceeds the welfare cap and margin, the government must either justify the breach, enact policies to cut forecast spending or request parliament to increase the level of the cap (Keep, 2025[89]).
Within these general limits on fiscal policy, control over tax expenditures is exercised by HM Treasury and HMRC through regular monitoring, with additional oversight from the OBR. In 2017, HM Treasury introduced a framework for monitoring tax expenditures valued over GBP 40 million per year with specific policy objectives. HMRC also created a framework with 57 questions to guide the management of tax expenditures, helping to document information in a consistent way, including on costs, public awareness and promotion of the tax expenditure and monitoring and evaluation arrangements (National Audit Office, 2020[13]).
Once enacted, tax expenditures are generally not subject to regular parliamentary scrutiny. By contrast, government departments must publish annual reports and account for expenditure, which must be sent to Parliament and examined by parliamentary committees. These reports set out objectives, past performance, risk management, and audited financial statements.
Identification and estimation
Since 2019, HMRC has dedicated additional resources to costing previously uncosted tax reliefs, prioritising non-structural reliefs. As such, the number of uncosted reliefs was reduced by around 100 measures between 2020 and 2024, meaning over three quarters of tax expenditures now have costs estimated (Sinfield, 2025[86]).
HMRC (2024[77]) describes its costings as “estimates of the amount of relief which is claimed and subsequently granted each year”. As in other countries, it notes that the estimates may not reflect the actual revenues that the government would collect if the tax expenditure policy were abolished, which reduces the comparability with public spending figures. Unlike the official statistics, policy costings published with the budget do factor in behavioural assumptions or interactions between policies (National Audit Office, 2020[13]).
Tax expenditure estimates are accompanied by an “uncertainty rating” associated with each tax expenditure in the official statistics and for policy costings that accompany the budget. This uncertainty may be rated low, medium, or high, where a high uncertainty rating means there is little, incomplete or poor-quality data behind the estimate. Official statistics also explain the reasons why some tax expenditures are not costed, or why a costing is not disclosed even it if is available to the government (HM Revenue and Customs, 2024[77]).