In the energy sector, major employment shifts are already underway, encouraged by climate mitigation policies. Between 2019 and 2023, fossil fuel-related jobs fell by 1% while employment in clean energy rose by 15% (IEA, 2024[39]). Stepping up climate ambition could lead to dramatic growth in energy employment. In both the IEA’s Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) and Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario (NZE Scenario), job creation associated with clean energy technologies comfortably outweighs job losses in fossil fuel and related industries through to 2030 around the world. Energy employment in 2030 is substantially higher under the NZE Scenario (83 million workers) than under STEPS (74 million). Still, the benefits of clean energy employment growth are spread unevenly across countries: two-thirds of all clean energy job additions since 2019 have been in developed economies and in China (IEA, 2024[39]).
Supporting workers in declining sectors and at-risk regions requires measures such as active labour market policies (e.g. job search assistance) and income support, potentially including targeted wage insurance schemes, along with place-based policies and policies supporting geographical mobility. Collective bargaining and social dialogue, when aimed at finding solutions for all parties, can provide essential input for designing effective measures to support workers, households and regions. Involving social partners and all stakeholders in long-term transition planning, including organisations representing employers and workers, public employment services and training institutions, can contribute to more informed policy responses (OECD, 2023[40]).
Education and skills policies are also key. Analysis of labour market transitions in European countries has found education to be the most important individual-level driver of transitions from non-employment to green-task jobs (Causa et al., 2024[41]). Moreover, the job quality advantage of green-driven occupations tends to be concentrated in high-skilled jobs, with low-skilled, green-driven jobs offering lower wages and job security than other low‑skilled occupations (OECD, 2024[36]). This underscores the need for responsive education and skills policies, complemented by labour market policies, to enhance the quality of green‑driven jobs.
Education and skills policies need to provide learners with core sustainability competences and the technical and transversal skills needed for employment in the net-zero economy. However, education and training policies are not keeping up with the required pace of change. For instance, only 40% of adults in OECD countries participate in formal or non-formal learning for job-related purposes (OECD, 2021[42]), and workers in high‑emissions occupations tend to train significantly less than those in other occupations. In sectors such as energy, skilled labour shortages, particularly in job profiles typically linked to vocational education (e.g. installers and technicians), are already emerging as a major bottleneck to the low-carbon transition.
Key actions for policymakers to address these challenges include strengthening skills assessment and anticipation, including by facilitating broad stakeholder participation; enhancing green career guidance; and developing a coherent and inclusive skills delivery system through greater co-operation and alignment across vocational, higher and adult education, keeping regional contexts in mind (OECD, 2025[43]). Overcoming barriers to participation in upskilling and reskilling programmes, particularly for vulnerable groups and women, is essential.
Beyond employment impacts, climate mitigation policies can have distributional impacts on household budgets. Policy design must ensure that measures such as carbon pricing do not weigh unduly on disadvantaged groups (e.g. low-income households). Targeted redistribution of revenues generated can enable governments to influence distributional outcomes while maintaining economic efficiency. Additional targeted measures are needed to ensure that climate policy instruments such as standards, bans and subsidies are not regressive and that vulnerable populations can benefit from them.
Gender equality is essential for the pursuit of a just transition, yet remains relatively overlooked by countries. Only 17 out of 30 OECD country survey respondents consider gender aspects in environmental policymaking (OECD, 2021[44]), and only 55 national climate action plans explicitly reference gender equality (UN Women, 2023[45]). Additionally, only 55% of all climate-related official development assistance (ODA) from OECD Development Assistance Committee members integrates gender equality objectives (OECD, 2023[46]).
Managed well, the net-zero transition presents opportunities to address gender inequalities in the labour market. At present, women account for only 28% of green-task jobs (OECD, 2023[40]). Facilitating women’s participation in growing green sectors requires tackling their underrepresentation in relevant training and education programmes, including in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) and vocational programmes. Targeted efforts are needed to overcome gender stereotypes and barriers to entry in these fields, expand inclusive training opportunities, and develop tailored scholarships. Governments can enhance support for women in green entrepreneurship by providing funding opportunities for women‑led start-ups and by developing platforms for women entrepreneurs to access larger networks and markets.
Adopting a place-based approach – where policies are targeted or tailored to the needs of specific places – can ensure that climate policies reflect local contexts, needs and opportunities. Place-based policies can support vulnerable regions in transitioning away from emissions-intensive industries and maximising local green job creation. National governments should be attentive to the spatial implications of climate policies and support subnational governments in addressing obstacles to local climate action such as limited access to finance, capacity constraints, and insufficient co-ordination mechanisms across levels of government.
A just transition at the global level needs to recognise countries’ unequal starting points. In transitioning their economies, developing countries need to address challenges such as limited institutional capacity and access to finance. High levels of informal employment and low levels of social protection coverage increase workers’ vulnerability and complicate assessments of the labour market impacts of the transition. Informal employment represents approximately 89% of total employment in low-income countries, compared to only 16% in high-income countries (OECD, 2023[47]). Integrating climate action with development objectives can help to achieve more favourable socio-economic outcomes. Growing numbers of green‑driven jobs can be leveraged to drive more formal employment, bolstered by support for labour representation and collective bargaining (OECD, 2024[48]). Developed countries have an important role to play in this effort by aligning ODA with Paris Agreement goals and building fruitful partnerships with developing countries.