The recent trend in foreign financing in Bangladesh is marked by a decline in the flow of grant and concessional resources from bilateral and multilateral sources. While the share of grant resources in official development assistance (ODA) in the mid-2000s was between 20% and 25%, it came down to 5% in FY 2020-21. As an emergency response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Bangladesh received budget support from international financial institutions and multilateral development banks on LIBOR-based variable rates for the procurement of vaccines, provision of health supplies and social sector programmes. We are now increasingly dealing with blended finance and scale-up facilities with floating interest rates in keeping with our categorisation by the World Bank as a lower middle-income country since 2015.
While the total debt burden of 31 emerging economies is at least 2.5 times their combined gross domestic product (GDP), Bangladesh’s debt-to-GDP ratio stood at only 32.4% of GDP at the end of FY 2021. This is well below the internationally recognised threshold for sustainable debt, and only 11.9% of the outlay comes from external sources. Debt sustainability analyses carried out by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund suggest that “fiscal discipline has kept Bangladesh at a low risk of debt distress” (IMF, 2022[1]). However, the rising cost of borrowing is a concern for the country’s development outlook. It would be crucial for us to continue mobilising ODA, especially for our massive social sector programmes.
Climate change has emerged as one of the biggest threats to Bangladesh’s sustainable development. Extreme temperatures, erratic rainfall, flood and drought, even more intense tropical cyclones, sea-level rise, increasing salinity, riverbank erosion, etc. are causing severe negative impacts on the lives and livelihoods of millions of our people. Bangladesh is striving to move away from climate vulnerability to long‑term sustainability and resilience. Significant public finance will be required to reduce the investment gap in the climate sector, especially for adaptation efforts. Developed nations’ support for a just transition would be critical in the coming days. We welcome the historic decision to create a “loss and damage” fund in COP27. However, the success of this fund will depend on how quickly it gets operationalised. Access to existing international climate funds also needs to be streamlined.
International development co-operation has seen a significant transformation in the past decade, making foreign assistance management a complex undertaking. Lack of synergies and complementarities between and among different financing mechanisms creates overlap and/or scarcity in critically needed investment areas. In order to respond to fast-changing and diverging financing models, there is a growing need for development co-operation support to build the capacity of the relevant public sector entities.