Using data on more than 150.000 non-financial companies operating in both manufacturing and services sectors around the world, we analyse the drivers of firm performance throughout the whole COVID cycle (until end 2021). We highlight three key results. First, if anything, larger and older firms did worse than smaller and younger ones in terms of revenues and investment spending, both during COVID-19 and the subsequent recovery. Even in sectors that were under scrutiny from a competition standpoint, such as technology and healthcare, larger firms did not systematically over-perform. Second, ex-ante financial strength attenuated the effects of the shock on revenues during the COVID cycle. Third, there is some evidence of debt overhang: firms that entered the crisis with a higher leverage ratio invested less than others, including on R&D, both in 2020 and in 2021, while firms that became more debt-burdened during the pandemic tended to record weaker investment spending during the recovery. These insights shed light on market power, competition, and more generally on the performance of the corporate sector since the start of COVID-19 pandemic.
The law of the strongest? Exploring the drivers of firm performance during the COVID‑19 crisis
Working paper
Share
Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Abstract
In the same series
-
Working paper
Evidence from Costa Rica’s electronics sector
17 July 202635 Pages -
17 July 202645 Pages
-
Working paper
Calibrating stochastic debt sustainability analysis models
15 July 202640 Pages -
30 June 202667 Pages
-
Working paper19 June 202652 Pages
-
15 June 2026110 Pages
Related publications
-
30 June 202656 Pages
-
Policy brief10 June 20268 Pages