Important notice: in line with OECD policy to reduce paper consumption, delegates are invited to download papers from this location and to bring them to the meeting. Paper copies will not be available on the day.
Final Draft Agenda
Monday 14 November
09.30 – 09.50 |
Welcome and introduction - EC and OECD |
Session 1 – Presentation of work by the OECD Task Force on “Improvement of Response Rates and Minimization of Respondent Load” |
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Improvement of response rates and minimization of respondent load are of high priority for all national institutes. The specific aim of the task force was to identify good national practice and to make recommendations on the following issues: |
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09.50 – 10.25 |
Presentation by taskforce leaders: |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion |
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10.25 – 11.15 |
Business Surveys in South Africa: Testing the ground for internet-based surveys keeping the impact of response rates in mind - Pieter Laubscher, BER, South Africa |
Why is the response rate of the TANKAN high? - Kenichiro Tahara, Bank of Japan ppt presentation |
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Discussion |
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11.15 – 11.35 |
Coffee break |
11.35 – 12.10 |
Assessing and minimising the impact of non-response on survey estimates – Analysis of key issues and main findings - Richard McKenzie, OECD |
Discussion |
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12.10 – 12.50 |
Adjusting for non-response: constant-sample method in the French business surveys - Philippe Scherrer, INSEE |
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Analysis of non-response patterns in South African business tendency surveys - Pieter Laubscher, BER, South Africa |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion |
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12.50 - 13.00 |
Session 1 conclusions and recommendations |
13.00 - 14.20 |
Lunch |
Session 2 – Presentation of work by OECD Task Force on ‘Harmonisation of Survey Operation and Technical Design” |
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There are at present no international guidelines and recommendations outlining best practice for the development of business tendency surveys. However, in 2003 the OECD published a Handbook aimed at helping non-member countries to implement and/or develop their business tendency surveys. The survey procedures presented and recommended in the handbook are procedures which are used for official statistical surveys. These recommendations could, however, be used as a starting point for further discussion on development of standards for survey operation and technical design. |
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Presentations by taskforce leaders: |
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14.20 – 14.50 |
Efficient sample design and weighting methods – Analysis of key issues and recommendations - Marco Malgarini, ISAE |
Discussion |
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14.50 - 15.20 |
Identification and Assessment of Recommended Practices for the Design of Internet Surveys - Anna Stangl, Ifo Institute |
Discussion |
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15.20 – 15.30 |
Session 2 conclusions and recommendations |
Session 3 – Recent developments of the OECD Business Tendency and Consumer Opinion Surveys Portal: |
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To promote harmonization and facilitate best practice through the sharing of information on business tendency and consumer opinion surveys between international organizations and national institutes. The OECD web-portal provides access to the following: |
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• existing international guidelines and recommendations; |
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15.30 – 16.00 |
Brief overview on recent improvements to the portal including developments in the collection and dissemination of metadata - Ronny Nilsson, OECD |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion |
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16.00 – 16.20 |
Coffee break |
16.20 - 16.50 |
Calculation of normalised business and consumer confidence indicators and OECD and Non-OECD area aggregates (OECD Total, Major 7, Big 6 Non-OECD, World proxy) - Olivier Brunet, OECD |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion |
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16.50 – 17.00 |
Session 3 conclusions and recommendations - Denis Ward, OECD |
Session 4 – Uses of business and consumer opinion survey data, implications for data producers |
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This session outlines the uses of business and consumer opinion survey data in the analytical work of several survey banks. The presentations also touch briefly on issues / implications of interest to producers of survey data. | |
17.00 - 17.20 |
Use of business and consumer opinion survey data in business cycle analyses from a user perspective - Guiseppe Parigi, Bank of Italy |
ppt presentation | |
17.20 - 17.40 | Use of business and consumer opinion survey data in business cycle analyses from a user perspective - Ece Oral, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey |
ppt presentation | |
17.40 - 17.50 | Discussion |
Tuesday 15 November |
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Session 4 – Uses of business and consumer opinion survey data, implications for data producers (cont.) |
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09.30 - 09.45 | Use of business and consumer opinion survey data in business cycle analyses from a user perspective - Benoît Robert, National Bank of Belgium ppt presentation |
09.45 - 10.05 | The usefulness of survey measures from a research and policy perspective - Ricardo Mestre, European Central Bank |
ppt presentation | |
10.05 - 10.15 | Discussion |
10.15 - 10.25 | Session 4 conclusion and recommendations - OECD |
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Session 5 – |
Recent developments in the Seasonal Adjustment of Business Tendency and Consumer Opinion Data |
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10.25 - 10.55 | Performance of Seasonal Adjustment Procedures: Simulations and Empirical Results - Philip Hans Franses, Econometric Institute - Erasmus University Rotterdam |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion | |
10.55 - 11.10 | Session 5 conclusions and recommendations - European Commission |
11.10 - 11.30 |
Coffee break |
Session 6 – Presentations of studies on other topics |
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This session presents recent work of a number of national agencies and the European Commission and, in particular, identifies avenues / issues for possible future work by the Workshop in the evolution of business and consumer opinion surveys. | |
11.30 – 12.00 |
Individual responses to BTS and the forecasting of manufactured production - Hélène Erkel-Rousse, INSEE |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion |
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12.00 - 12.30 |
Quantified perceived and expected inflation in the Euro Area - how incentives improve consumers inflation forecasts - Staffan Lindén, European Commission |
ppt presentation | |
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Discussion |
12.30 - 14.00 |
Lunch |
14.00 - 14.25 |
Indicator of economic sentiment and confidence indicator in services - Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic |
ppt presentation | |
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Discussion |
14.25 - 14.50 |
Composite indicators in the business tendency surveys: Practice of Central Statistical Office of Poland and European Commission - Katarzyna Walkowska, GUS, Poland |
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Discussion |
14.40 - 15.15 |
Comparison of national versus European Commission confidence indicators - Maarten van de Stadt, European Commission |
ppt presentation | |
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Discussion |
15.15 - 15.40 |
Consumer and entrepreneurs confidence and inflation perception from perspectives of Estonian entry into the European Union and joining the EMU - Marjo Josing, Statistical Office of Estonia |
ppt presentation | |
Discussion | |
15.40 - 15.50 | Session 6 conclusions and recommendations - OECD |
Session 7 – Meeting conclusions and future work |
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15.50 - 16.20 |
Review of meeting conclusions and recommendations for: |
Task Force on “Improvement of Response Rates and Minimization of Respondent Load” |
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Task Force on “Harmonisation of Survey Operation and Technical Design” |
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Future work on Priority Areas |
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Discussion |
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Future meetings (Back to back with CIRET, Rome, in 2006) |
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Other business |
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Denis Ward, OECD |
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