Draft agenda (pdf)
The venue for the meeting will be: Hotel Metropole, 31 Place de Brouckère, B-1000 Brussels (hotel booking form)
Participation at this workshop is by invitation only. For further information, please contact kate.raggett@oecd.org
Workshop objective
The objective of the joint EC– OECD workshop is to foster harmonization of business and consumer opinion surveys. It also provides a forum to exchange knowledge and discuss the current challenges and prospects in the field.
Draft agenda
MONDAY, 12 October
9.50 – 10.10 Welcome and introduction EC and OECD
10.10 – 11.10 Session 1. Economic and social aspects of the current crisis
Background and introduction to topic
Marco Mira d'Ercole, OECD
Results from the survey among institutes on consumers and crisis
Roberta Friz, EC ppt presentation
Households’ financial situation and the crisis: macro and micro evidence from the EU and ISAE surveys
Marco Malgarini, ISAE ppt presentation
What do the surveys reveal about the impact of the crisis on the South African economy?
George Kershoff, BER ppt presentation
11.10 – 11.30 Coffee break
11.30– 13.00 Session 1 continued. Economic and social aspects of the current crisis
Assessing the increase of Italian families perceived vulnerability
S. Gabriele, ISAE; C. Pollastri, Cer; Michele Raitano, Sapienza Università di Roma
abstract
The impact of financial crisis on consumers, results from ad-hoc questions
Elif Pars, GfK Turkiye abstract ppt presentation
Study on the crises from a historical perspective using surveys
Reuben Borg, EC ppt presentation
Is there a credit crunch in Italy? Evidence on new ISAE survey data
Stefano Costa and Patrizia Margani, ISAE ppt presentation
Discussion
13.00 – 14.30 Lunch
14.30 – 16.00 Session 2. Response rates, data quality and availability issues
Introduction and background to topic
Kristine Vlagsma, EC
The financial services survey in the EU
Rosario Spadaro, IPSOS, Belgium ppt presentation
George Kershoff, BER ppt presentation
Effect of the changeover to the mandatory reply on the response rate for the French surveysOlivier Biau, EC ppt presentation
Bank Indonesia - consumer survey
Nurcahyo Heru Prasetyo, Bank of Indonesia ppt presentation
Discussion
16.00 – 16.20 Coffee break
16.20 – 17.50 Session 3. Issues related to survey harmonisation
Introduction and background to topic
David Brackfield, OECD
Current status of the business tendency survey harmonisation in non-EU countries, OECD enhanced engagement economies and OECD accession countries
Elena Tosetto, OECD ppt presentation
Experience with introducing NACE rev 2 into the short-term business statistics in Eurostat and EU Member States
Brian Newson, EUROSTAT ppt presentation
Experiences with the Visual Analog Scale in the German Internet Business Survey
Anna Stangl, Ifo abstract ppt presentation
US - Experimental implementation of Web based consumer surveys, as well as comparisons between several modes: telephone (landline and cell), web, and mail
Richard Curtin, University of Michigan ppt presentation
Discussion
20.00 Dinner at restaurant (at participant expense)
TUESDAY, 13 October
9.30 – 10.40 Session 4. Modelling seasonality and handling qualitative survey data
Background and introduction to topic
Kristine Vlagsma, EC
Is seasonal adjustment necessary for Business Confidence series?
Emmanuelle Guidetti, OECD; Gyorgy Gyomai, OECD; Francesca Spinelli, OECD
The effects on seasonality while migrating surveys from quarterly to monthly frequency: the case of Brazil
Aloisio Campelo, Fundação Getulio Vargas, Brazil ppt presentation
Benchmarking seasonal adjustment softwares using Frankenstein’s seriesDominique Ladiray, INSEE abstract ppt presentation
Discussion
10.40 – 11.00 Coffee break
11.00 – 13.00 Session 5. Use of surveys for forecasting key economic variables
Background and introduction to topic
Dominique Ladiray, INSEE
Survey of expectations in Israeli industry as a leading forecasting tool
Daphna Aviram-Nitzan, Manufacturers’ Association of Israel ppt presentation
Can we forecast quarterly national data revisions with tendency surveys
Pierre-Alain Pionnier, INSEE
A new survey-based indicator to track industrial production
Olivier Biau and Angela D'Elia, EC abstract ppt presentation
A user perspective on use of surveys with a special focus on inventories
Philippe de Rougemont, ECB ppt presentation
Use of Chilean business surveys in conjunctural assessment and short-term forecasting
Michael Pedersen, Central Bank of Chile ppt presentation
13.00 – 14.30 Lunch
14.30 – 16.10 Session 6. New survey areas and alternative survey types
Introduction and background to topic
Kristine Vlagsma, EC
The CBI's recent answering practices survey of the retail survey
Jonathan Wood, CBI ppt presentation
Survey of professional forecasters (SPF)
Luca Onorante, ECB ppt presentation
New survey on the Italian residential housing market
Roberto Sabbatini, Banca d'Italia ppt presentation
TANKAN as a tool for forecasting economic condition in Japan
Satoshi Kudoh, Bank of Japan ppt presentation
Discussion
16.10 – 16.30 Coffee break
16.30 – 17.30 Session 7. Presentations on the development of data visualization tools
Introduction
Gyorgy Gyomai, OECD
Presentations of the OECD eXplorer visualisation tool
David Brackfield, OECD ppt presentation
Presentations on the development of data visualization tools
Rosa Ruggeri Cannata, EUROSTAT ppt presentation
The Dutch business cycle factsheet
Statistics Netherlands ppt presentation
Discussion
17.30 – 17.50 Information session on the CIRET workshop (Budapest, November 2009) and CIRET conference (New York, October 2010)
Richard Etter, Executive Officer, CIRET ppt presentation
For information:
Inclusion or isolation: strategy of interaction of small business with a society and governmental structures
Dr. G.Gradoselskaya, Analytical Centre at Government of Russian Federation
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