Draft agenda (pdf)
The venue for the meeting will be: Crowne Plaza Europa Hotel
107 Rue de la Loi
1040 Bruxelles
Tel: +32 2 230 13 33
Fax: +32 2 230 03 26
Participation at this workshop is by invitation only. For further information, please contact kate.raggett@oecd.org
Workshop objective
The objective of the joint EC– OECD workshop is to foster harmonization of business and consumer opinion surveys. It also provides a forum to exchange knowledge and discuss the current challenges and prospects in the field.
Draft agenda
THURSDAY, 17 November
14.30 – 18.00 Session 1. Survey design and management
14:30 – 14:45 Welcome and introduction - EC and OECD
14:45 15:05 Towards the improvement of the Tankan Survey: imputing missing values
Takahiro Hirakawa, Bank of Japan
abstract presentation
15:05 15:25 Proceedings: On measuring data quality of business tendency surveys – an approach at the individual level
Matthias Bannert, Switzerland (KOF)
abstract presentation
15:25 15:45 SME Index in tendency surveys
Daphna Aviram-Nitzan, Israel, Manufacturers Association of Israel
abstract presentation
15:45 16:00 Discussion
16.00 – 16.20 Coffee break
16:20 16:40 Monthly business leaders’ opinion survey in the manufacturing sector
Carlos Sandoval, INEGI, Mexico
abstract paper presentation
16:40 17:00 Establishing a business tendency survey using the job vacancy survey's foundation
Muriel Shafir, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
abstract presentation
17:00 17:20 On the performance of consumer confidence measurement
Türknur Hamsici Brand, Central Bank of Turkey
abstract paper presentation
17:20 17:40 The consumer confidence survey in Israel based on the social survey sample
Dr Dmitri Romanov, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
abstract presentation
17:40 18:00 Discussion
19:00 Dinner: l'Atelier européen (128 rue Franklin, 1000 Brussels)
FRIDAY, 18 November
9:00 – 12:50 Session 2. Applications and research
9:00 9:20 “Those unpredictable recessions…”
Sergey Smirnov, Higher School of Economics, Moscow
abstract paper presentation
9:20 9:40 Indicators of financial conditions and other sentiment indicators in the context of the Leading Economic Index for the United States
Ataman Ozyildirim, The Conference Board, USA
abstract presentation
9:40 10:00 Nowcasting GDP directional change with BTS data
Matthieu Cornec, INSEE, France
paper presentation
10:00 10:20 Derive a non-inflationary rate of capacity utilization (NIRCU) based on firm-level micro data
Eva Köberl, Switzerland (KOF)
abstract paper presentation
10:20 10:40 Discussion
10:40 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 11:20 The use of BCS data in turning points detection
Gian Luigi Mazzi, EUROSTAT
11:20 11:40 Is there a decoupling between soft and hard data? The relationship between GDP growth and the ESI
Angela D’Elia, European Commission/Olivier Biau, INSEE
abstract paper presentation
11:40 12:00 Industrial production and confidence after the crisis: what's going on?
Marco Malgarini, ISTAT, Italy
paper presentation
12:00 12:20 Analysing business tendency survey series for the presence of seasonality
Francesca Spinelli, OECD
abstract presentation
12:20 12:40 A novel analytical system for monitoring relevant trade based on sentiment indicators
Daan Zult, Statistics Netherlands
12:40 13:00 Discussion and conclusions
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