Leading indicators

Joint EU/OECD Workshop on recent developments in Business and Consumer Surveys, 14-15 November 2013, Brussels, Belgium



Crowne Plaza Hotel - Le Palace
Rue Gineste 3, B-1210 Bruxelles
Tel: +32 2 203 62 00 
Fax: +32 2 203 55 55


Workshop objective

The objective of the joint EC- OECD workshop was to foster harmonization of business and consumer opinion surveys. It also provided a forum to exchange knowledge and discuss the current challenges and prospects in the field.


Agenda  (pdf)


 Papers and presentations (PDF)

14 November

UN Handbook: State of affairs - Mauro Politi (ISTAT, Italy)

Quality of BCS data: Results of Task Force 1 on sample frames - Jonathan Wood (CBI, United Kingdom)
presentation and summary

Analysis of sampling frames in CS - Krzysztof Puszczak (GfK, Poland)
presentation and paper

UN Handbook Ch. 4, Survey frame and sample design: recommendations on sampling frames, sampling methods and sample sizes - Sidney Vergouw (CBS, Netherlands)

Task force on sample sizes:

Task force on sampling methods: combined presentation on business and consumer surveys - Raquel Garcia (Simple Logica, Spain)
presentation and paper

UN Handbook Ch. 7, Managing sources of non-sampling error: recommendations on response rates - M.Politi (ISTAT, Italy)
presentation and report

Task force on response rates on business surveys - Gerhard Schwarz (WIFO, Austria)
presentation and paper

Task force on response rates on consumer surveys - Pertti Kangassalo (Statistik Finland)
presentation and paper

Tailored design method: application to response rates in Spain - José Manuel Almendros Ulibarri (MINETUR, Spain)
presentation and paper

UN Handbook Ch. 5 Estimation procedure and accuracy: recommendations on weighting approaches - Sidney Vergouw (CBS Netherlands)

Task force on weighting approaches for business surveys - Catherine Renne (INSEE, France)

Task force on weighting approaches for consumer surveys - Michail Vassileiadis (IOBE, Greece)
presentation and paper

Task force on volatility analysis of individual questions - Andreas Reuter (European Commission)


15 November

ECB Indicator on Euro Area Industrial New Orders - Heinz Dieden (ECB)
presentation, paper and ECB occasional paper

A Monthly Indicator of Economic Growth - Leendert Hoven (CBS Netherlands)
presentation, paper and abstract

OECD Composite Leading Indicators for G7 Countries: a Comparison of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and the Multivariate Direct Filter Approach - Pierre-Alain Pionnier (OECD)
presentation and abstract

Debate: The most adequate way of presenting forecast data - Daphna Aviram-Nitzan (MAI Israel)

The KOF Barometer Version 2013 - Jan-Egbert Sturm (KOF)
presentation, paper and abstract

Measuring the True Threshold of Consumer Sentiment in Mexico - Esperanza Sainz López (INEGI Mexico)
presentation and paper

Recent Improvements of BOK Consumer Surveys: Adjusting for non-response - Jang Youn Kyung (BoK, Korea)

Proxy Measures of the Level of Capacity Utilisation for non-manufacturing sectors - Viviane Seda Bittencourt (FGV Brazil)


 Participants' papers can also be accessed via the EC website



Link to previous workshops



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