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Leading indicators and tendency surveys

Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), OECD, May 2019

 

CLIs continue to point to easing growth momentum in most major economies

 

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13/05/2019 - Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend six to nine months ahead, continue to point to easing growth momentum in most major economies.

Easing growth momentum remains the assessment for the United States, Japan, Canada, the United Kingdom and the euro area as a whole, including Germany and Italy.

On the other hand, the CLI for France now anticipates stable growth momentum, driven by improvements in consumer confidence, car registrations and share prices.

Among major emerging economies, stable growth momentum is now the assessment for the industrial sector in China, reflecting more positive signals from the chemicals and construction sectors and from share prices, and remains the assessment for India, with similar signs emerging in Russia. In Brazil, the CLI continues to point to growth gaining momentum.

 

 Easing growth momentum in the OECD area

 CLIs continue to point to easing growth momentum in most major economies‌‌

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