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Working Papers


  • 15-November-2013

    English

    China’s march to prosperity: reforms to avoid the middle-income trap

    China is well-placed to avoid the so-called "middle-income trap" and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon.

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  • 7-November-2013

    English

    Productivity measurement with natural capital

    The purpose of this paper is to gain a better understanding of the role of natural capital for productivity measurement and as a source of economic growth.

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  • 1-October-2013

    English

    How to achieve growth- and equity-friendly fiscal consolidation?

    Despite sustained efforts made in recent years to rein in budget deficits, a majority of OECD countries still face substantial fiscal consolidation needs. The choices made about which spending areas to curtail and which taxes to hike will have implications for near-term activity and long-term growth as well as for equity and the current account.

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  • 20-August-2013

    English

    Japan's challenging debt dynamics

    This working paper presents the background and the details of the simulations behind Box 1.4 of the May 2013 OECD Economic Outlook. A small simulation model is used to evaluate the contribution that the three pillars of the government’s strategy – fiscal consolidation, growth-boosting structural reforms and higher inflation – could make to reversing the rise in Japan’s public debt ratio.

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  • 6-August-2013

    English

    Is there convergence of Russia’s regions? Exploring the empirical evidence: 1995–2010

    This paper analyses convergence in per capita gross regional product of Russia’s regions during the period 1995-2010, when regional data are available.

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  • 5-August-2013

    English

    Austria’s well-being goes beyond GDP

    Austria enjoys strong material well-being and high quality of life. Steady convergence with top GDP per capita levels translated into decisive improvements in household disposable incomes while significant redistribution has ensured low income inequality and poverty.

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  • 16-July-2013

    English

    Policies to support sustainable long-term growth in New Zealand

    As its workforce ages and major economies shift towards producing higher value-added goods and services, New Zealand will face increasing challenges to remain globally competitive and maintain high living standards. Future growth will need to come increasingly from productivity gains, and resources will have to shift towards activities that rely more on skills, technology and intangible assets.

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  • 9-July-2013

    English

    Do structural policies affect macroeconomic stability?

    Using a panel of OECD countries, this study assesses the linkages between structural policies and macroeconomic stability. Business cycle and time-series characteristics of GDP and its components are employed to define various measures for economic instability and for the persistence of adverse shocks.

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  • 1-July-2013

    English

    Policy implementation in Italy: legislation, public administration and the rule of law

    OECD indicators of structural policy show that policy changes in Italy since 1998 should have improved the environment for entrepreneurship significantly, but in the same period its economic performance has deteriorated noticeably.

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  • 25-June-2013

    English

    A projection method for public health and long-term care expenditures

    This paper proposes a new set of public health and long-term care expenditure projections until 2060, seven years after a first set of projections was published by the OECD. It disentangles health from long-term care expenditure, as well as the demographic from the non-demographic drivers, and refines the previous methodology, in particular by extending the country coverage.

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