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Asia Desk produces an annual flagship publication, the Southeast Asian Economic Outlook (SAEO) , and publishes "This Quarter in Asia " on a quarterly basis based on regular updates of the Asian Business Cycle Indicators.
SAEO provides:
• A five-year economic outlook for the region, based on the Medium-term Projection Framework;
• Assessment of the structural policy reforms identified in national plans, through country notes and the Structural Policy Performance Indicators and;
• Short-term macroeconomic trends, including macroeconomic climate and potential risks to the outlook.
What's new
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on 19-Apr-2012
Developing Asia is forecast to grow by 7.2% in 2011, 6.9% in 2012 and 7.3% in 2013. The greatest risk to Asia’s outlook is the continued uncertainty in Europe’s sovereign debt problems. Raising living standards and reducing poverty should be a priority in the years to come to ensure that benefits of growth are widely shared.
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12-Mar-2012
Growth in Asia will remain weak in the coming months but improvements can be seen in several countries. Positive signs, related to stable domestic demand notably in Indonesia, mitigate effects of global economic turmoil. Global uncertainty – mainly from the Eurozone – is a major risk for the region, more so for export-dependents such as Singapore and Malaysia. Growth in China and India remain weak and signs of weakening domestic demand in China is a major concern.
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03-Feb-2012
Organised by the OECD Development Centre, the OECD/Korea Policy Centre and the KDI School of Public Policy and Management, the regional seminar on “Narrowing development gaps in Southeast Asia: A policy dialogue on inclusive growth” took place on 15 & 16 February 2012 in Seoul, South Korea.
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31-Jan-2012
This paper studies sources of technological upgrading in China and India. China and India's export products associated with a productivity level much higher than a country at their income level. China is now the largest exporter of high-technology products in the world, while India has been more successful in exports of business and information technology services. It presents empirical evidence on the important role of FDI inflows and imported capital goods that embody new technology for TFP growth in a large panel of advanced and developing countries.
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05-Jan-2012
Working Paper N° 307: Labour Market Changes, Labour Disputes and Social Cohesion in China describes basic situations of labour disputes and examines the determinants of labour disputes from macro and micro perspectives and finds that the advent of the Lewis Turning Point enlightens the awareness of workers striving for rights and interest in the labour market. Labour disputes have intensified in China in recent years, alongside the labour shortages and wage inflation, particularly since 2008 when several Chinese labour related laws were issued or updated.
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29-Nov-2011
Growth for the six Southeast Asian economies, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam, will be 5.0% in 2011, and is projected to be 5.6% during 2012- 2016, 2% lower than in 2010.
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10-Oct-2011
Asia’s growth will moderate in the coming months according to the latest Asian Business Cycle Indicators (ABCIs).
Global uncertainty casts a shadow over Asian economies with deterioration in business and consumer sentiments and a negative reaction in financial markets.
Asian countries need to be vigilant over macroeconomic management amid big uncertainty in the coming months.
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14-Jun-2011
In general, ASEAN economies show resilience in growth in the second quarter of 2011 according to the latest Asian Business Cycle Indicators (ABCIs). Malaysia and Thailand show upward movement in business cycles. Some signs of slowing appeared in China and India. Coping with inflationary pressures remains a key policy challenge in the region.
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11-Apr-2011
Mr. Joseph Zveglich, Assistant Chief Economist at the Asian Development Bank presented the key findings of the report. OECD Development Centre, Economics Department, Development Cooperation Directorate and IFRI provided comments. According to the report, Asia is forecast to grow by 7.8% in 2011 and 7.7% in 2012. The region faces two critical challenges-inflation pressures and capital flows. The importance of South-South links was also highlighted. This event brought together a large number of participants within OECD as well as the audience coming from Southeast Asian countries.
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This Quarter in Asia | Asian Business Cycle Indicators (ABCIs)
Southeast Asian Economic Outlook 2011/12
Southeast Asian Economic Outlook brochure
