This is the 13th edition of the Agricultural Outlook and the third time it has been prepared jointly by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO). Based on the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations, this report forecasts market trends for the world’s main agricultural products for the period 2007 to 2016 and includes an evaluation of recent developments and emerging issues.
The market projections cover 39 countries and 19 regions, OECD members as well as key non-OECD agricultural producers — such as India, China, Brazil, Russia and Argentina. The projections are based on specific assumptions regarding global macroeconomic conditions, population growth, national agricultural and trade policies, production technologies and average weather conditions. Using the underlying assumptions, the Agricultural Outlook then provides a picture of how agricultural markets could evolve in the coming decade.
Publication Date: 07/08/2007
The Highlights (pdf) is a summary version of the entire outlook report. It consists of chapter I of the report (Overview) and a summary set of tables.
Chapter 1 - Overview
This chapter contains a one page Outlook in Brief section, providing the most salient points in this year's Agricultural Outlook. This is followed by a longer Overview section where the reader will find a detailed description of the main macroeconomic and policy drivers in the outlook as well as a summary of the main trends and developments over the medium term. A short section on demographic trends provides additional context for the outlook assessment. Tables at the end of the section provide a summary of the projections.
Chapter 2 - Cereals
Chapter 3 - Oilseeds and Oilseed Products
Chapter 4 - Sugar
Chapter 5 - Meat
Chapter 6 - Dairy
These chapters provide detailed background and analysis for the individual commodities. The chapters all have the same basic structure. A short overview is first provided of global trends and prospects, including a review of the key market drivers. This is followed by a section on the main market developments and by a discussion of the most important issues and uncertainties in the outlook for the various commodities. The most prominent trends are highlighted in graphs, developments of particular significance receive more detailed discussion in separate boxes, and the statistical annex provides a full account of the projections.
Annex A. Statistical Tables
Annex B. Glossary of Terms
Readers can access the full version of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook, choosing from the following options: