Working Papers


  • 26-July-2016

    English

    Forecasting GDP during and after the Great Recession: A contest between small-scale bridge and large-scale dynamic factor models

    OECD Economics Department Working Papers, N. 1313 - This paper compares the short-term forecasting performance of state-of-the-art large-scale dynamic factor models (DFMs) and the small-scale bridge models routinely used at the OECD.

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  • 25-May-2016

    English

    The use of short-term indicators and survey data for predicting turning points in economic activity: A performance analysis of the OECD system of CLIs during the Great Recession

    Statistics Working Paper N. 74, 2016/8 - After reviewing the main features of the statistics available in the Main Economic Indicators to inform policy makers, this paper discusses the performance of the Composite Leading Indicatirs (CLIs) during the Great Recession.This performance is assessed using both ex-post and real-time analyses.

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  • 24-May-2016

    English

    Measuring GDP in a digitalised economy

    Statistics Working Paper N. 73, 2016/7 - Recent years have seen a rapid emergence of new disruptive technologies with new forms of intermediation, service provision and consumption, with digitalisation being a common characteristic. These include new platforms that facilitate Peer-to-Peer transactions, such as AirBnB and Uber, new activities such as crowd sourcing,...

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  • 23-May-2016

    English

    The drivers of differences between growth in GDP and household adjusted disposable income in OECD countries

    Statistics Working Paper N. 71, 2016/6 - Growth in household income has evolved differently from gross domestic product (GDP) in most OECD countries over the last eighteen years. Using the wealth of information available in the System of National Accounts, this paper provides an assessment of what may be driving this gap

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  • 21-May-2016

    English

    Multi-dimensional living standards: a welfare measure based on preferences

    Statistics Working Paper N. 72, 2016/5 - We compute a distribution-adjusted welfare measure that aggregates outcomes in three dimensions of well-being, namely income, employment and longevity. Aggregation weights reflect preferences of people on these dimensions. The welfare measure is calculated for 26 OECD countries and selected emerging economies, and covers about three decades.

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  • 20-May-2016

    English

    Unemployment, temporary work and subjective well-being: gendered effect of spousal labour market insecurity in the United Kingdom

    Statistics Working Paper N. 70, 2016/4 - This paper investigates the extent to which unemployment and temporary work – two forms of labour market insecurity – affect different aspects of subjective well-being (i.e. life satisfaction, psychological well-being and satisfaction with partnership) among legally married and cohabiting couples in the United Kingdom.

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  • 29-April-2016

    English

    Big data measures of well-being: Evidence from a Google well-being index in the United States

    Statistics Working Paper N. 69, 2016/3 - We build an indicator of individual subjective well-being in the United States based on Google Trends. The indicator is a combination of keyword groups that are endogenously identified to fit with the weekly time-series of subjective well-being measures disseminated by Gallup Analytics...

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  • 26-February-2016

    English

    Economic theory and practical lessons for measuring equality of opportunities

    Statistics Working Paper N. 68, 2016/2 - The development of a dashboard of statistics for the monitoring of equality of opportunity should recognize important lessons from economic theory: first, descriptive statistics associated with inter-generational mobility do not speak directly to equality of opportunity without accepting a value judgment that children should not be held responsible for circumstances beyond their control...

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  • 25-February-2016

    English

    Where is inclusive growth happening? Mapping multi-dimensional living standards in OECD regions

    Statistics Working Paper N. 67, 2016/1 - This paper applies the Inclusive Growth framework to the OECD Regional Well-being Database in order to compute multidimensional living standards (MDLS) among OECD regions from the early 2000s to 2012.

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  • 18-December-2015

    English

    Measuring and assessing job quality

    OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers N. 174 - This paper presents the OECD Framework for Measuring and Assessing Job Quality developed jointly by the Employment, Labour and Social Affairs Directorate and the Statistics Directorate of the OECD as part of a broader EU-supported project1 and describes its links to the broader well-being agenda pursued by the OECD.

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