Publications & Documents


  • 10-October-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, October 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for August 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to point to a slowdown in economic activity in most OECD countries and major non-member economies.

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  • 12-September-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, September 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for July 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to point to a slowdown in economic activity in most OECD countries and major non-member economies. The CLI for the OECD area fell 0.5 point in July; the fourth consecutive monthly decline.

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  • 8-August-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, August 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for June 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue pointing to a slowdown in activity in most OECD countries and major non-member economies.

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  • 11-July-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, July 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, point to a slowdown in most major economies for May 2011.

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  • 14-June-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, June 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, point to a mild loss of growth momentum in most major economies for April 2011.

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  • 31-May-2011

    English

    Cycle extraction: a comparison of the phase-average trend method, the Hodrick-Prescott and Christiano-Fitzgerald filters

    Statistics Working Paper N. 39- 2011/4 - This paper reports on revision properties of different de-trending and smoothing methods (cycle estimation methods), including PAT with MCD smoothing, a double Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter and the Christiano-Fitzgerald (CF) filter. The different cycle estimation methods are rated on their revision performance in a simulated real time experiment. Our goal is to find a robust method that gives

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  • 9-May-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, May 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) are pointing to some divergence in the pace of economic activity across major economies.

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  • 11-April-2011

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, April 2011

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for February 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue pointing to expansion in most OECD countries.

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  • 26-July-2010

    English

    Consumer confidence shows a slowing down in pace of recovery for the first half of 2010

    Consumer confidence in the OECD area has levelled out since January 2010, possibly announcing a new peak or maybe just indicating uncertainty in the coming months. Confidence levels remain historically low, a result of the financial crisis and indicating that the effects of the crisis are continuing to be felt by consumers who remain pessimistic about the future.

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  • 5-February-2010

    English, , 31kb

    OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI) zone aggregation methodology

    This document describes the zone aggregation methodology for the eight indicators in the OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) framework.

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