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For good economic policy making and many other economic agents’ decisions it is necessary to correctly assess the current and, especially, the future economic situation. Over the last 50 years several leading indicators have been developed to signal the movements, up and down, of future economic activity before they occur, as well as to provide some indication of the magnitude of those movements. One of the most well known (and
This database provides access to time series data for OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI), standardised consumer and business confidence indicators, business tendency survey indicators by sector and consumer opinion survey indicators as published in each monthly edition of the OECD Main Economic Indicators. Accessing this source data will enable users to analyse in depth the development of business cycles within and across
Can we trust official statistics? Do they give us a true picture of how societies are changing? Enrico Giovannini, OECD Chief Statistician, will answer your questions on the role and future of statistics during an online debate between 14.00 and 16.00 Paris time on Thursday 12 July.
Statistics Working Paper N. 21 - 2007/1 - This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the current period performance of the OECD composite leading indicators (CLIs) for 21 OECD Member countries and three zone aggregates (OECD area, Euro area and Major Seven countries) for which CLIs are available for a longer time period. The revisions analysis of OECD CLIs is similar to those recently undertaken by the Organisation for a range of
Statistics Working Paper N. 20 - 2006/5 - The OECD developed a System of Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs) for its member countries in the early 1980.s based on the "growth cycle" approach and up to 2006 the Organisation compiled composite leading indicators for 23 of the 30 Member countries. Country coverage has now been expanded to include recently new OECD member countries (Korea, New Zealand1, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and
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The OECD has developed CLIs for the major six OECD non-member economies (Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russian Federation and South Africa) monitored by the organisation and six recently new OECD member countries (Korea, New Zealand, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovak Republic). CLIs for above countries were released for the first time in April 2006. This technical paper which outlines the procedures used for compiling the
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The OECD has developed CLIs for the major six OECD non-member economies (Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russian Federation and South Africa) monitored by the organisation and six recently new OECD member countries (Korea, New Zealand, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovak Republic). This article summarises this work and a technical paper which outlines the procedures used for compiling the CLIs for the 12 new countries can be
Sources and Definitions provides a brief summary outline of current national practices for each country for which data are published in MEI. Information is published under four broad headings: definition, coverage, collection and calculation. This publication also outlines the conceptual basis of a range of methodological issues relevant to the presentation of statistics in MEI.
Statistics Working Paper N. 16 - 2006/1. The OECD developed a System of Composite Leading indicators for its Member countries in the early 1980s based on the .growth cycle. approach. Today the OECD compiles composite leading indicators (CLIs) for 23 of its 30 member countries and it is envisaged to expand country coverage to include all Member countries and the major six OECD non-member economies (NMEs) monitored by the organisation