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8-August-2011

English

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, August 2011

Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for June 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue pointing to a slowdown in activity in most OECD countries and major non-member economies.

11-July-2011

English

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, July 2011

Composite leading indicators (CLIs) designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, point to a slowdown in most major economies for May 2011.

14-June-2011

English

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, June 2011

Composite leading indicators (CLIs) designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, point to a mild loss of growth momentum in most major economies for April 2011.

31-May-2011

English

Cycle extraction: a comparison of the phase-average trend method, the Hodrick-Prescott and Christiano-Fitzgerald filters

Statistics Working Paper N. 39- 2011/4 - This paper reports on revision properties of different de-trending and smoothing methods (cycle estimation methods), including PAT with MCD smoothing, a double Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter and the Christiano-Fitzgerald (CF) filter. The different cycle estimation methods are rated on their revision performance in a simulated real time experiment. Our goal is to find a robust method that gives

9-May-2011

English

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, May 2011

Composite leading indicators (CLIs) are pointing to some divergence in the pace of economic activity across major economies.

11-April-2011

English

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, April 2011

Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for February 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue pointing to expansion in most OECD countries.

26-July-2010

English

Consumer confidence shows a slowing down in pace of recovery for the first half of 2010

Consumer confidence in the OECD area has levelled out since January 2010, possibly announcing a new peak or maybe just indicating uncertainty in the coming months. Confidence levels remain historically low, a result of the financial crisis and indicating that the effects of the crisis are continuing to be felt by consumers who remain pessimistic about the future.

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5-February-2010

English, , 31kb

OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI) zone aggregation methodology

This document describes the zone aggregation methodology for the eight indicators in the OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) framework.

10-December-2009

English, Excel, 171kb

Interpreting OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs)

The recent economic and financial crisis has increased the spotlight on the OECD’s CLI and indeed broadened its base of users beyond its traditional specialised audience. To respond to the needs of this broader base, the OECD has decided to produce this note that provides a more accessible and less technical explanation of the CLI and the ways in which it should be interpreted.

23-July-2009

English

Consumer confidence remains low but signs of improvement appear

Consumer confidence indicators in recent months have pointed to a marked improvement in sentiment since the historic lows recorded towards the beginning of 2009. Whilst encouraging, some caution is needed as confidence remains low by historic standards. This is shown in the following graphs for the major seven OECD member countries and the country grouping "OECD Area", which put consumer confidence indicators in a historical context.

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