Leading indicators and tendency surveys

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, August 2013

 

Composite leading indicators continue to point to diverging growth patterns across major economies

 


Download the entire news release (PDF 115 KB)

 

08/08/2013 - Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to signal diverging growth patterns across major economies. The CLIs point to moderate improvements in growth in most major OECD countries but stabilising or slowing momentum in large emerging economies.

The assessment this month is practically unchanged from last month’s assessment in all major economies except China where the CLI is now pointing to slowing momentum.

The CLIs for the United States, Japan and the United Kingdom point to economic growth firming.

In the Euro Area as a whole, the CLI continues to indicate a gain in growth momentum. In Germany, the CLI points to growth returning to trend. The CLI for Italy continues to signal a positive change in momentum while the CLI for France points to relatively stable momentum.

The CLI for Canada points to growth close to trend rate. The CLI for India continues to show signs of a tentative positive change in momentum. On the other hand, the CLIs for Russia and Brazil continue to point to slowing momentum.

Growth firming in the OECD area

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Underlying data - Source: OECD Composite Leading Indicators Database

 The methodology used to compile OECD CLIs and reference series trend is described in the following document: "OECD system of Composite Leading Indicators".

 

Watch also our short video explaining how
the Composite Leading Indicators are compiled
  

 

 

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Next publication date: 9 September 2013 - see the release calendar

 
 

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Contacts
For further information, journalists are invited to contact the OECD's Media Relations Division on (33) 1 45 24 97 00 or news.contact@oecd.org;  others should contact the Statistics Directorate on stat.contact@oecd.org.

 
 

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Link to previous news releases

 
 

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More information on leading indicators at www.oecd.org/std/cli
 

 

 

 

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