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Statistics Working Paper N. 49 - 2012/5 - We estimate the business-cycles of G7 countries, as defined by an ideal 2-10 year bandpass filter applied to country-specific GDP target series (GDP-BP). The paper shows that efficiency gains by the Multivariate Direct Filter Approach (MDFA)over HP are substantial along the full revision-sequence and they are consistent across countries as well as over time, when referenced against GDP-BP.
Business competitiveness and export performance are increasingly tied to countries’ integration into global production chains and a willingness to open markets to wider imports, according to preliminary international trade data released today by the OECD and the WTO.
The OECD unemployment rate was stable at 8.0% in November 2012, unchanged from the previous month.
Real GDP growth in the OECD area increased by 0.3% in the third quarter of 2012, compared with 0.2% in the second quarter.
Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning-points in economic activity relative to trend, show signs of stabilising economic outlook in most major economies.
Annual inflation in the OECD area rose by 1.9% in the year to November 2012, compared with 2.2% in the year to October 2012. This easing in the annual rate of inflation mainly reflected slower growth in energy prices, which increased by 2.9% in November, down from 5.4% in October.
Quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the G20 area grew by 0.6% in the third quarter of 2012 compared with 0.5% in the second quarter, according to preliminary estimates. The aggregate G20 GDP growth rate however continues to mask diverging patterns across economies.
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Report on the Comparison of the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and the Multivariate Direct Filter Approach in Composite Leading Indicators Construction - A case for G7 Countries
Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning-points in economic activity relative to trend, show diverging patterns across major economies.
The EUROSTAT-OECD Methodological manual on purchasing power parities has three aims: first, to explain to those engaged directly in the Programme; second, to enable these practitioners to brief their senior management and significant users - such as politicians, journalists, academics and the like - on the why and how of the Programme and, more importantly, to advise them on the use and interpretation of comparison results; and third,