Leading indicators and tendency surveys

Turkey - CLI Component Series & Turning Points

 

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Production amount of electricity (gw hours)

State Institute of Statistics

Finished goods stocks: level (manufacturing) (% balance) inverted

Central Bank of Turkey

New orders from domestic market: future tendency (manufacturing) (% balance)

Central Bank of Turkey

Employment: future tendency (manufact.)

(% balance)

Central Bank of Turkey

Prospects for exports (manufacturing) (bs) (% balance)

Central Bank of Turkey

Discounted treasury auction interest rate (% per annum) inverted

Central bank of Turkey

Imports of intermediate goods (usd)

State Institute of Statistics

 

Reference chronology of turning points

Trough 1961M10, Peak 1963M8, Trough 1965M6, Peak 1966M8, Trough 1967M8, Peak 1968M8, Trough 1971M4, Peak 1972M6, Trough 1973M11, Peak 1976M9, Trough 1980M7, Peak 1981M10, Trough 1982M7, Peak 1984M6, Trough 1985M8, Peak 1987M11, Trough 1989M5, Peak 1993M8, Trough 1994M7, Peak 1998M2, Trough 1999M8, Peak 2000M8, Trough 2001M10, Peak 2008M1, Trough 2009M3, Peak 2011M5

 

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