Leading indicators and tendency surveys

Switzerland - CLI Component Series and Turning Points

 

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Finished goods stocks: level (manufact.) (% balance) inverted

Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research (KOF/ETZ)

Orders inflow: tendency (manufact.) (% balance)

KOF/ETZ

Production: tendency (manufacturing) (% balance)

KOF/ETZ

UBS 100 share price index (2000=100)

Swiss Exchange

Consumer surveys: expected economic situation sa

KOF/ETZ

Silver prices CHF/kj

Swiss National Bank

 

Reference chronology of turning points

Peak 1961M11, Trough 1963M1, Peak 1964M5, Trough 1966M1, Peak 1967M1, Trough 1969M2, Peak 1971M7, Trough 1972M4, Peak 1974M3, Trough 1975M12, Peak 1977M9, Trough 1978M9, Peak 1980M5, Trough 1983M6, Peak 1985M8, Trough 1987M3, Peak 1990M5, Trough 1993M2, Peak 1994M11, Trough 1996M11, Peak 1998M5, Trough 1999M4, Peak 2000M12, Trough 2003M5, Peak 2008M4, Trough 2009M5, Peak 2011M2, Trough 2012M6

 

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