Leading indicators and tendency surveys

South Africa - CLI Component Series & Turning Points

 

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Orders inflow (manufacturing): tendency (% balance)

Bureau of Economic Research

Industrial confidence indicator (% balance)

Bureaau of Economic Research

Permits issued: dwellings (2005=100)

Reserve Bank

Sales of motor cars (2005=100)

Reserve Bank

ShaShare prices: ftse/jse index (2005=100)

International Monetary Fund

Spread of interest rate (% per annum)

Reserve Bank

 

Reference chronology of turning points

Peak 1960M7, Trough 1962M12, Peak 1965M2, Trough 1966M10, Peak 1967M8, Trough 1969M3, Peak 1971M1, Trough 1972M8, Peak 1974M6, Trough 1977M10, Peak 1981M9, Trough 1983M4, Peak 1984M5, Trough 1986M6, Peak 1989M5, Trough 1992M12, Peak 1996M11, Trough 1998M12, Peak 2000M10, Trough 2003M11, Peak 2008M5, Trough 2009M8, Peak 2011M3

 

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