Component Series (Unit)

Source

US imports from Russia inverted

Bureau of Labour, US Department

Order books: level (BS) (% balance)

Institute for the Economy in Transition

Share prices: rts index (2005=100)

Central Bank of R.F.

World market price of crude oil (2005=100)

Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA)

Production: trend observed in recent month (BS) (% balance)

E.T. Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Assessment of export order books: present level (BS) (% balance)

E.T. Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Reference chronology of turning points

Trough 1996M10, Peak 1997M9, Trough 1998M10, Peak 2000M7, Trough 2002M4, Peak 2004M5, Trough 2005M2, Peak 2008M4, Trough 2009M6