Leading indicators and tendency surveys

New Zealand - CLI Component Series & Turning Points

 

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Business situation (manufac.): future tend. (% balance)

New Zealand Inst.Economic Research

Consumer confidence indicator (% balance)

Westpac Banking Corporation N.Z.

Total retail sales (value) (nzd)

Statistics New Zealand

Unemployed persons less than 1 month (persons) inverted

Department of Labour N. Z.

Monetary aggregate m1 (2005=100)

Reserve Bank N. Z.

Yield of 90-day bank bills (% per annum) inverted

Reserve Bank N. Z.

 

Reference chronology of turning points

Peak 1961M7, Trough 1962M12, Peak 1965M6, Trough 1968M8, Peak 1970M1, Trough 1972M9, Peak 1974M6, Trough 1975M5, Peak 1976M12, Trough 1978M2, Peak 1979M1, Trough 1980M7, Peak 1984M3, Trough 1987M2, Peak 1989M2, Trough 1992M10, Peak 1995M5, Trough 1998M7, Peak 2000M2, Trough 2001M2, Peak 2005M7, Trough 2006M4, Peak 2007M8, Trough 2009M3, Peak 2010M6

 

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