Component Series (Unit)

Source

Monthly changes in manufacturing employment (%)

INEGI

Employment: tendency (manufact.) (BS) (% balance)

Bank of Mexico

Finished goods stocks: tendency (mfc.) (BS) (% balance)

Inverted

Bank of Mexico

Production: tendency (manufacturing) (BS) (% balance)

Bank of Mexico

Yield >10-year US federal government securities (composite) (% per annum) inverted

US Treasury Department USA

Cost managing deposits for banks (% per annum) inverted

Bank of Mexico

Real effective exchange rate (2000=100)

OECD

Reference chronology of turning points

Trough 1962M9, Peak 1964M8, Trough 1967M6, Peak 1968M7, Trough 1971M7, Peak 1973M9, Trough 1977M7, Peak 1981M9, Trough 1983M6, Peak 1985M7, Trough 1986M11, Peak 1992M7, Trough 1993M5, Peak 1994M8, Trough 1995M8, Peak 1998M2, Trough 1999M4, Peak 2000M6, Trough 2003M8, Peak 2008M2, Trough 2009M5