Leading indicators and tendency surveys

China - CLI Component Series & Turning Points

 

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Production of chemical fertilizer (tonnes)

National Bureau of Statistics

Monetary aggregate m2 (cny)

National Bureau of Statistics

Production of manufactured crude steel (tonnes)

National Bureau of Statistics

5000 Industrial Enterprises: Diffusion Index: Overseas order level (%)

People`s Bank of China

Production of buildings (m2)

National Bureau of Statistics

Production of motor vehicles (number)

National Bureau of Statistics

Shanghai Stock Exchange: Turnover (cny)

Shanghai Stock Exchange

 

Reference chronology of turning points

Trough 1979M1, Peak 1980M2, Trough 1982M10, Peak 1985M4, Trough 1986M3, Peak 1988M9, Trough 1990M7, Peak 1994M9, Trough 1996M3, Peak 1996M12, Trough 1999M6, Peak 2000M8, Trough 2002M2, Peak 2004M3, Trough 2005M3, Peak 2008M1, Trough 2009M1, Peak 2011M3

 

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