Leading indicators and tendency surveys

Australia - CLI Component Series & Turning Points

 

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Dwelling permits issued (number)

Australian Bureau of Statistics

Orders inflow (manufact.): tendency (bs)
(% balance)

ACCI Westpack

Production (manufacturing): tendency (bs)

(% balance)

ACCI Westpack

Employment (manufacturing): future tendency (bs)

(% balance)

Up to October 2012 release the component series was “employment (manufacturing) tendency (% balance)”. From November 2012 release, the component series is “employment (manufacturing) future tendency (% balance)”

ACCI Westpack

Share price index (all industrials) (2000=100)

Reserve Bank of Australia

Terms of trade (2000=100)

Australian Bureau of Statistics

Yield 10-year commonwealth government bonds (% per annum) Inverted

Reserve Bank of Australia

 

Reference chronology of turning points

Trough 1961M9, Peak 1965M1, Trough 1966M4, Peak 1970M4, Trough 1972M9, Peak 1973M11, Trough 1975M10, Peak 1976M8, Trough 1978M2, Peak 1981M8, Trough 1983M4, Peak 1985M8, Trough 1986M9, Peak 1989M8, Trough 1991M11, Peak 1994M6, Trough 1997M1, Peak 2000M2, Trough 2001M1, Peak 2002M6, Trough 2003M3, Peak 2005M9, Trough 2006M6, Peak 2008M2, Trough 2009M5, Peak 2010M3

 

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