Leading Indicators

The OECD composite leading indicator (CLI) is designed to provide early signals of turning points (peaks and troughs) between expansions and slowdowns of economic activity. The OECD compiles CLIs for 29 member countries, for 6 non-member economies and for 7 country groupings such as Euro zone. The data are available from the beginning of 1960s for most countries.

This Web site at: www.oecd.org/std/cli

What's new

OECD Composite Leading Indicators signal intensified slowdown in the OECD area

11-Jul-2008

May 2008 data indicate a continued weakening outlook for all the major seven economies, except Japan and Italy. The latest data for major OECD non-member economies tentatively point to expansion in China but a downturn in Brazil and India and continued expansion in Russia.

Statistics Brief No. 14 - Predicting the Business Cycle: How good are early estimates of OECD Composite Leading Indicators?

28-Feb-2008

This Statistics Brief describes the purpose OECD Composite Leading Indicators serve, how they are constructed and their performance and reliability, measured through a careful analysis of their revisions.

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Editor's Choice

This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

The aim of the "OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis" is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research, including both measurement and analytical aspects.

www.oecd.org/std/jbcma