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pdf,491Kb,Anglais | Voir le résumé
06-déc.-2002
The update outlined in this document ensures that the CLI calculation is based on more up-to- date chronologies of turning points. As a result, the trend estimation, which is a crucial element of the OECD methodology, will be strongly improved.
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pdf,152Kb,Anglais | Voir le résumé
01-août-2001
This paper compares two different methods to compile Euro area CLI: a method where Euro area CLI is compile directly from the Euro area components and a method where it is compiled by aggregating the CLIs of individual Member countries.
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pdf,60Kb,Français | Voir le résumé
28-juin-2001
The primary purpose of this document is to show how CLIs can be used in practice to predict economic turning points (peaks and troughs) and to assess the general behaviour of the economy.
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pdf,Anglais | Voir le résumé
01-oct.-2000
This paper looks into the construction of the economic sentiment indicators calculated b the European Commission (EC) and the composite leading indicators calculated by the OECD.
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pdf,Anglais | Voir le résumé
01-oct.-2000
Presentation of the recent developments regarding the use of the OECD Composite Leading Indicator.
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pdf,77Kb,Anglais | Voir le résumé
01-juin-2000
This study compares the German and the Japanese composite leading indicators using two methods of trend estimation and two methods of data normalisation.
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pdf,78Kb,Anglais | Voir le résumé
01-mai-1997
The purpose of this article is to show that statistical data available at that time would have given discerning economists early signals of the crisis. More precisely, using a practical forecasting tool ...
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pdf,Anglais | Voir le résumé
01-oct.-1996
This study proposes an update of the Composite Leading Indicators for the United States, Germany and Norway. It also presents a new Composite Leading Indicator for Mexico.
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